Traditional Retail Banking - Kenya

  • Kenya
  • In Kenya, the Traditional Retail Banking market market is expected to witness a significant increase in Net Interest Income.
  • By 2024, it is projected to reach US$1.70bn.
  • Looking ahead, there is an anticipated annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 3.51%, which will contribute to a substantial market volume of US$2.02bn by 2029.
  • When compared globally, in China is forecasted to generate the highest Net Interest Income.
  • In 2024, it is estimated to be US$2,426.0bn.
  • Kenya's traditional retail banking market is experiencing a shift towards digital banking services to meet the growing demand for convenient and accessible financial solutions.

Key regions: France, Brazil, Germany, United Kingdom, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

Kenya's Traditional Retail Banking market is experiencing significant growth and development, driven by various factors shaping the industry in the country.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Kenya are increasingly demanding more personalized and convenient banking services, leading traditional retail banks to invest in digital transformation to meet these expectations. The shift towards digital channels is driven by the need for efficiency, speed, and accessibility in banking services, reflecting a global trend in the industry.

Trends in the market:
One notable trend in the Kenyan Traditional Retail Banking market is the rise of mobile banking and digital payment solutions. With the widespread adoption of mobile phones and the success of mobile money platforms like M-Pesa, traditional banks are incorporating digital features into their services to stay competitive. This trend is reshaping the market landscape and driving innovation in product offerings and customer experience.

Local special circumstances:
Kenya's unique market dynamics, such as a young and tech-savvy population, high mobile phone penetration rates, and a growing middle class, are contributing to the rapid evolution of the Traditional Retail Banking sector. These factors create a fertile ground for the adoption of digital banking solutions and drive competition among banks to differentiate themselves through technology and innovation.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The macroeconomic environment in Kenya, including stable economic growth, government initiatives to promote financial inclusion, and regulatory reforms to support the banking sector, are providing a conducive backdrop for the expansion of Traditional Retail Banking services. These factors are encouraging investment in the industry and fostering a competitive landscape that benefits both banks and consumers.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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