Traditional Retail Banking - Nigeria

  • Nigeria
  • In Nigeria, the Traditional Retail Banking market market is anticipated to witness a significant increase in Net Interest Income, projected to reach US$16.68bn by the year 2024.
  • Furthermore, it is expected that the Net Interest Income will exhibit a compound annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of 2.89%, ultimately culminating in a market volume of US$18.69bn by 2028.
  • When comparing this data on a global scale, it is noteworthy that in China is poised to generate the highest Net Interest Income, with an estimated value of US$2,941.0bn in 2024.
  • In Nigeria, traditional retail banking is experiencing a shift towards digital platforms and mobile banking services.

Key regions: Singapore, Germany, India, Japan, South Korea

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Traditional Retail Banking market in Nigeria is experiencing a significant shift driven by changing customer preferences, market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Nigeria are increasingly seeking convenient and efficient banking services, leading to a growing demand for digital banking solutions. The preference for mobile and online banking is driven by the need for 24/7 access to banking services, ease of transactions, and the convenience of managing finances remotely.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Traditional Retail Banking market in Nigeria is the rapid adoption of digital banking channels. Traditional banks are investing in technology to offer services such as mobile banking apps, internet banking, and digital wallets to cater to the evolving needs of tech-savvy customers. Additionally, there is a rise in partnerships between banks and fintech companies to enhance service delivery and customer experience.

Local special circumstances:
Nigeria's retail banking market is unique due to the large unbanked population in the country. As a result, there is a significant opportunity for banks to expand their customer base by offering inclusive banking solutions tailored to the needs of underserved communities. Moreover, the regulatory environment in Nigeria plays a crucial role in shaping the retail banking landscape, influencing market competition, innovation, and customer protection.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth of the Traditional Retail Banking market in Nigeria is also influenced by macroeconomic factors such as population growth, urbanization, and increasing disposable income. As more Nigerians move to urban areas and experience rising income levels, there is a higher demand for banking products and services, driving market expansion. Additionally, government initiatives to promote financial inclusion and digital literacy are further propelling the development of the retail banking sector in Nigeria.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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