Commodities - Italy

Italy

The nominal value in Italy's Commodities market is forecasted to reach US$3,248.00bn in 2024.
It is anticipated to demonstrate an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of 3.00%, leading to a projected total amount of US$3,655.00bn by 2028.
The average price per contract in Italy's Commodities market stands at US$0.46 in 2024.
When compared globally, the highest nominal value is achieved the in the United States (US$45,690.00bn in 2024).
The number of contracts in Italy's Commodities market is expected to reach 7,240.00k by 2028.
Italy's growing demand for diversified commodity investments reflects a strategic shift towards hedging risks in the volatile global market.

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Analyst Opinion

The Commodities market in Italy has been experiencing significant growth and development in recent years. Customer preferences in the Italian Commodities market have been shifting towards more diverse investment options, with investors showing increased interest in alternative assets such as Commodities.

This trend is in line with global market behavior, where investors are looking for ways to diversify their portfolios and hedge against market volatility. Trends in the Italian Commodities market indicate a growing demand for financial derivatives as investors seek exposure to different asset classes. This trend is driven by the potential for higher returns compared to traditional investments, as well as the ability to spread risk across a wider range of assets.

Local special circumstances, such as Italy's strong economic ties to the European Union and its position as a major player in the global financial markets, contribute to the growth of the Commodities market in the country. The presence of a well-established financial sector and a supportive regulatory environment further enhance the appeal of Commodities trading for investors in Italy. Underlying macroeconomic factors, including Italy's stable economic growth, low inflation rates, and favorable interest rate environment, provide a solid foundation for the development of the Commodities market.

These factors create a conducive environment for investment and encourage market participants to explore alternative asset classes like Commodities for portfolio diversification and risk management.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.