Commodities - Mozambique

  • Mozambique
  • The nominal value in Mozambique's Commodities market is forecasted to reach US$21.85bn in 2024.
  • It is anticipated to demonstrate an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of 3.32%, leading to a projected total amount of US$24.90bn by 2028.
  • The average price per contract in Mozambique's Commodities market stands at US$0.05 in 2024.
  • When considering a global perspective, it is evident that the highest nominal value is achieved the in the United States (US$45,690.00bn in 2024).
  • In Mozambique's Commodities market, the number of contracts is expected to reach 490.20k by 2028.
  • Mozambique's Commodities market shows an increasing interest in trading futures contracts, reflecting a growing appetite for financial risk management tools.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Commodities market in Mozambique is experiencing a notable shift in recent years, reflecting the changing dynamics of the global financial landscape. Customer preferences in Mozambique are increasingly leaning towards diversified investment portfolios, with a growing interest in Commodities as a way to hedge against inflation and diversify risk.

Investors are looking for alternative investment options beyond traditional asset classes, seeking higher returns and portfolio protection amid market uncertainties. Trends in the market indicate a rising demand for Commodities trading in Mozambique, driven by the country's economic growth and increasing integration into the global financial system. As investors become more sophisticated and risk-aware, the Commodities market is becoming a preferred avenue for speculation and portfolio optimization.

Local special circumstances in Mozambique, such as the development of financial infrastructure and regulatory frameworks, are facilitating the growth of the Commodities market. The government's efforts to promote financial inclusion and attract foreign investment are also contributing to the expansion of Commodities trading in the country. Underlying macroeconomic factors, including Mozambique's stable economic growth, favorable interest rates, and increasing foreign direct investment, are creating a conducive environment for the development of the Commodities market.

As the country continues to strengthen its position in the global economy, the Commodities market is expected to play a significant role in shaping Mozambique's financial landscape.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Value Development
  • Volume
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Share development
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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