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Public Transportation - Estonia

Estonia

In Estonia, the Public Transportation market is expected to witness significant growth in the coming years.
It is projected that the revenue in this market will reach US$217.90m by 2024, with an annual growth rate of -0.29% (CAGR 2024-2028).
This growth is expected to result in a market volume of US$215.40m by 2028.
The number of users in this market is also expected to increase to 0.90m users by 2028.
Regarding user penetration, it is projected to be 68.8% in 2024 and 69.5% by 2028.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$240.00.
Additionally, it is forecasted that by 2028, 24% of the total revenue in the Public Transportation market will be generated through online sales.
It is interesting to note that in a global comparison, United States is expected to generate the most revenue in this market, with a projected revenue of US$50,310m in 2024.
However, the Estonian market is also expected to witness significant growth in the coming years.
Estonia's public transportation system is highly advanced, with a focus on sustainable solutions and innovative technologies.

Key regions: United States, Indonesia, China, Saudi Arabia, Europe

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Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in Estonia is experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences: Customers in Estonia are increasingly opting for public transportation due to its convenience, affordability, and environmental benefits. With the rising concerns about pollution and traffic congestion, more people are choosing to use public transport as a sustainable alternative to private vehicles. Additionally, the younger generation, in particular, is showing a preference for public transportation, as they value the flexibility and cost-effectiveness it offers.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the public transportation market in Estonia is the integration of digital technologies. Mobile ticketing systems, real-time tracking apps, and contactless payment options have made public transportation more accessible and user-friendly. These technological advancements have not only improved the overall customer experience but also increased the efficiency of public transport operations. Another trend in the market is the expansion and modernization of public transportation infrastructure. Estonia has been investing in the development of new tram lines, bus routes, and railway networks to improve connectivity and reduce travel times. This expansion is aimed at meeting the growing demand for public transport and providing better access to different parts of the country.

Local special circumstances: Estonia's small size and high population density make it well-suited for the development of an efficient public transportation system. The country's capital city, Tallinn, has been at the forefront of this development, with a comprehensive network of buses, trams, and trolleybuses serving the city and its suburbs. The availability of multiple modes of public transport allows residents and visitors to choose the most convenient option for their travel needs.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth of the public transportation market in Estonia can also be attributed to favorable macroeconomic factors. The country has experienced steady economic growth in recent years, which has led to an increase in disposable income and improved living standards. As a result, more people are able to afford public transportation and are willing to use it as a reliable and cost-effective mode of travel. Furthermore, the government's focus on sustainable development and reducing carbon emissions has played a significant role in driving the growth of the public transportation market. Estonia has set ambitious targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and investing in public transportation is seen as a key strategy to achieve these goals. The government has implemented various policies and initiatives to promote public transportation, such as offering subsidies for public transport tickets and investing in the expansion of the network. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Estonia is experiencing growth and development due to customer preferences for convenience and sustainability, the integration of digital technologies, the expansion of infrastructure, and favorable macroeconomic factors. The government's focus on sustainable development and reducing carbon emissions has also contributed to the growth of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.