Public Transportation - Mexico

  • Mexico
  • Mexico's Public Transportation market is expected to witness a steady growth in revenue, projected to reach US$6.43bn by 2024.
  • The market is expected to grow at an annual growth rate of 0.96% between 2024 and 2028, resulting in a projected market volume of US$6.68bn by 2028.
  • Furthermore, the number of users in this market is expected to grow up to 82.82m users by 2028.
  • The user penetration rate is projected to be 62.9% in 2024 and 62.3% by 2028.
  • Additionally, the average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$79.03.
  • It is projected that 15% of the total revenue in the Public Transportation market will be generated through online sales by 2028.
  • It is noteworthy that in global comparison, United States is expected to generate the highest revenue of US$50,310m in 2024.
  • Mexico's public transportation system is undergoing modernization efforts, with plans to expand and improve metro lines and implement new bus rapid transit systems.

Key regions: United States, Indonesia, China, Saudi Arabia, Europe

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in Mexico is experiencing significant growth and development.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Mexico are increasingly opting for public transportation due to several factors. One of the main reasons is the growing concern for the environment and the need to reduce carbon emissions. Public transportation offers a more sustainable and eco-friendly alternative to private vehicles. Additionally, the rising cost of fuel and the increasing traffic congestion in urban areas are also driving customers towards public transportation.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the public transportation market in Mexico is the expansion and improvement of existing infrastructure. The government is investing heavily in the development of new metro lines, bus rapid transit systems, and light rail networks. This expansion is aimed at improving connectivity and accessibility for commuters, especially in densely populated urban areas. Furthermore, there is a growing trend towards the integration of different modes of public transportation, such as buses, trams, and bicycles, to provide a seamless and efficient travel experience for customers. Another trend in the market is the adoption of technology and digitalization. Public transportation providers are increasingly embracing smart ticketing systems, mobile apps, and real-time information services to enhance the overall customer experience. These technologies enable customers to plan their journeys more efficiently, access up-to-date information on routes and schedules, and make seamless payments.

Local special circumstances:
Mexico has a large and growing population, with a significant proportion living in urban areas. This concentration of population creates a high demand for public transportation services. Additionally, Mexico has a diverse geography, with many cities located in mountainous or hilly regions. This poses unique challenges for public transportation providers in terms of infrastructure development and route planning. However, the government and transportation authorities are actively addressing these challenges by investing in innovative solutions and adopting best practices from other countries.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth and development of the public transportation market in Mexico are also influenced by macroeconomic factors. The country's economic stability and increasing disposable income levels have contributed to the rising demand for public transportation services. As more people can afford to travel, the demand for reliable and affordable transportation options has increased. Furthermore, the government's focus on sustainable development and reducing carbon emissions has led to increased investments in public transportation infrastructure. These investments not only create job opportunities but also stimulate economic growth in the construction and manufacturing sectors. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Mexico is witnessing significant growth and development due to customer preferences for sustainable and cost-effective transportation options. The expansion of infrastructure, adoption of technology, and focus on sustainability are key trends driving the market. The unique local circumstances, such as the population concentration and diverse geography, present both challenges and opportunities for public transportation providers. The underlying macroeconomic factors, including economic stability and government investments, are also contributing to the growth of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • User Demographics
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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