Public Transportation - Pakistan

  • Pakistan
  • The projected revenue for Pakistan's Public Transportation market is expected to reach US$1.39bn by 2024.
  • With an annual growth rate of 3.42% (CAGR 2024-2028), the projected market volume is anticipated to reach US$1.59bn by 2028.
  • The number of users in the Public Transportation market is expected to amount to 126.40m users by 2028.
  • The projected user penetration is 50.9% in 2024 and is expected to decrease to 47.8% by 2028.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$11.16.
  • By 2028, 17% of the total revenue will be generated through online sales.
  • It is noteworthy that in comparison to other countries, United States is expected to generate the most revenue in the Public Transportation market, with a projected revenue of US$50,310m in 2024.
  • Pakistan's public transportation system is marked by inefficient and outdated infrastructure, leading to long travel times and overcrowding.

Key regions: United States, Indonesia, China, Saudi Arabia, Europe

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in Pakistan is experiencing significant growth and development.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Pakistan are increasingly opting for public transportation due to a variety of reasons. Firstly, the cost of owning and maintaining a private vehicle can be quite high, making public transportation a more affordable option for many individuals. Additionally, the traffic congestion in major cities such as Karachi and Lahore has become a major issue, leading people to choose public transportation as a more convenient and time-saving alternative. Moreover, the increasing awareness about environmental sustainability has also contributed to the growing preference for public transportation, as it helps reduce carbon emissions and promote a greener environment.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the public transportation market in Pakistan is the expansion and modernization of existing infrastructure. The government has been investing heavily in the development of new metro and bus rapid transit systems in major cities, such as the Lahore Metro Bus and Karachi Green Line Metro Bus. These projects aim to provide faster and more efficient transportation options to the public. Additionally, there has been a growing trend of integrating technology into public transportation services, such as the introduction of mobile ticketing systems and real-time tracking apps, which enhance the overall user experience.

Local special circumstances:
Pakistan is a densely populated country with a large urban population, which creates a high demand for efficient public transportation systems. The country also has a significant proportion of low-income individuals who rely heavily on public transportation for their daily commute. Furthermore, the lack of proper infrastructure and road networks in certain areas poses a challenge for the development of public transportation services. However, the government is actively working on addressing these issues by investing in infrastructure projects and implementing policies to improve the overall transportation system.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The economic growth and urbanization in Pakistan have played a significant role in the development of the public transportation market. As the country's economy continues to grow, more people are moving to urban areas in search of better job opportunities, leading to an increase in the demand for public transportation. Moreover, the government's focus on infrastructure development and urban planning has created opportunities for both domestic and foreign investments in the public transportation sector. Additionally, the increasing population and rising middle class in Pakistan have also contributed to the growth of the market, as more people are now able to afford public transportation services.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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