Casual Dating - Eastern Africa

  • Eastern Africa
  • Revenue in the Casual Dating market is projected to reach US$7.30m in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 0.19%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$7.37m by 2029.
  • In the Casual Dating market, the number of users is expected to amount to 5.3m users by 2029.
  • User penetration will be 0.9% in 2024 and is expected to hit 1.0% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$1.77.
  • In global comparison, most revenue will be generated in the United States (US$293.80m in 2024).
  • With a projected rate of 4.6%, the user penetration in the Casual Dating market is highest in Armenia.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Online Dating market in Eastern Africa has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences for online dating platforms have shifted, leading to increased usage and engagement. This trend can be attributed to several factors, including changing societal norms, increased internet penetration, and the convenience and accessibility offered by online dating platforms.

Customer preferences:
In Eastern Africa, there has been a shift in customer preferences towards online dating platforms. Traditionally, meeting potential partners through family or community connections was the norm. However, as societal norms evolve and individuals seek more autonomy in their personal lives, online dating has become increasingly popular. This shift is driven by a desire for greater choice and the ability to connect with a wider range of potential partners.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Eastern African online dating market is the rise of mobile dating apps. With the increasing availability of smartphones and affordable data plans, more people have access to the internet and are able to use dating apps on their mobile devices. This has led to a surge in the number of users and the overall engagement on these platforms. Another trend in the market is the growing acceptance and normalization of online dating. As more success stories emerge and people become more comfortable with the idea of meeting partners online, the stigma associated with online dating is diminishing. This has contributed to the increased adoption of online dating platforms in Eastern Africa.

Local special circumstances:
Eastern Africa has a young and tech-savvy population, which has contributed to the growth of the online dating market. The region has a high percentage of young adults who are actively seeking romantic relationships. Online dating platforms provide a convenient and efficient way for them to meet potential partners, especially in urban areas where traditional matchmaking methods may be less prevalent. Furthermore, the cultural diversity in Eastern Africa presents unique opportunities for online dating platforms. People from different ethnic backgrounds and religions can connect and interact on these platforms, breaking down traditional barriers and expanding the dating pool.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth of the online dating market in Eastern Africa can also be attributed to underlying macroeconomic factors. The region has experienced steady economic growth, resulting in an expanding middle class with increased disposable income. This has led to a higher demand for leisure activities, including online dating. Additionally, the rapid expansion of internet infrastructure in Eastern Africa has made online dating more accessible. Improved internet connectivity and the availability of affordable smartphones have allowed more people to access online dating platforms, contributing to the market's growth. In conclusion, the Online Dating market in Eastern Africa is developing rapidly due to changing customer preferences, including a shift towards online dating platforms and the rise of mobile dating apps. The region's young and tech-savvy population, along with the growing acceptance of online dating, has further fueled this growth. Additionally, underlying macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and improved internet infrastructure have contributed to the expansion of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services. The user metrics show the number of customers who have made at least one online purchase within the past 12 months.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies, third-party studies and reports, as well as survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Global Consumer Survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, GDP per capita, and internet connection speed. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are internet users, urban population, usage of key players, and attitudes toward online services.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. GCS data is reweighted for representativeness.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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