Traditional Commercial Banking - Africa

  • Africa
  • In Africa, the Traditional Commercial Banking market market is anticipated to witness a significant increase in Net Interest Income, with projections indicating a value of US$186.00bn in 2024.
  • Looking ahead, a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.60% between 2024 and 2028 is expected to drive the market volume to a staggering US$222.70bn by 2028.
  • When compared globally, it is noteworthy that in China will generate the highest Net Interest Income, reaching an impressive US$1,749.0bn in 2024.
  • In Nigeria, traditional commercial banks are adapting to the rise of digital banking by offering online and mobile banking services to cater to the growing tech-savvy population.

Key regions: Brazil, China, South Korea, Japan, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Traditional Commercial Banking market in Africa continues to experience significant growth and development, driven by various factors shaping the industry across the continent.

Customer preferences:
Customers in the African Traditional Commercial Banking market are increasingly seeking convenient and accessible banking services. With the rapid adoption of digital technologies, there is a growing demand for online and mobile banking solutions that offer flexibility and ease of use. Additionally, customers are looking for personalized services that cater to their specific financial needs and preferences.

Trends in the market:
In countries like Nigeria, there is a trend towards the consolidation of the banking sector, with larger banks acquiring smaller ones to expand their market presence and enhance their service offerings. This consolidation is driven by the need for economies of scale, improved efficiency, and increased competitiveness in the market. Additionally, there is a growing focus on financial inclusion initiatives to bring banking services to underserved populations in rural areas.

Local special circumstances:
In South Africa, the Traditional Commercial Banking market is influenced by regulatory changes aimed at promoting competition and customer protection. The introduction of new banking regulations and compliance requirements is reshaping the industry landscape and driving banks to innovate and adapt to the evolving regulatory environment. Moreover, the presence of a well-established financial infrastructure in South Africa is fostering the development of advanced banking services and products tailored to the diverse needs of customers.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
Across Africa, macroeconomic factors such as population growth, urbanization, and increasing disposable incomes are driving the demand for banking services. As more people enter the formal economy and become financially literate, there is a growing need for banking institutions to expand their reach and offer a wide range of products and services. Additionally, the stability of the political and economic environment in certain African countries is attracting foreign investment and fostering the growth of the banking sector.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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