Commercial Real Estate - South Africa

  • South Africa
  • The Commercial Real Estate market market in South Africa is projected to reach a value of US$0.37tn in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of 5.02%, resulting in a market volume of US$0.45tn by 2028.
  • In global comparison, the United States is expected to generate the highest value in the Real Estate market, with US$25,370.00bn in 2024.
  • The commercial real estate market in South Africa is experiencing a surge in demand due to increased foreign investment and urbanization.

Key regions: United Kingdom, China, Asia, France, Europe

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Commercial Real Estate market in South Africa has been experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences:
Customers in the Commercial Real Estate market in South Africa have shown a strong preference for modern and sustainable buildings. They are increasingly looking for properties that are energy-efficient, environmentally friendly, and equipped with the latest technology. This trend is in line with the global shift towards sustainable and green buildings, as customers become more conscious of the environmental impact of their choices. Additionally, customers in South Africa are also placing a high value on properties that offer flexible and adaptable spaces, as the nature of work continues to evolve.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Commercial Real Estate market in South Africa is the increasing demand for office spaces in major cities. With the growth of industries such as technology, finance, and professional services, there is a greater need for office spaces that can accommodate the expanding workforce. This trend is particularly evident in cities like Johannesburg and Cape Town, where the demand for prime office spaces has been steadily increasing. Another trend in the market is the rise of mixed-use developments, which combine commercial, residential, and retail spaces in a single development. These developments are becoming increasingly popular as they offer convenience and a diverse range of amenities in one location.

Local special circumstances:
South Africa's Commercial Real Estate market is influenced by several unique factors. One of these is the country's historical legacy of apartheid, which has resulted in spatial inequalities and the concentration of economic activity in certain areas. As a result, there is a high demand for commercial properties in well-established business districts, while other areas may struggle to attract investment. Additionally, the country's regulatory environment and bureaucratic processes can present challenges for developers and investors, impacting the pace of development in the market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The development of the Commercial Real Estate market in South Africa is also influenced by macroeconomic factors. Economic growth, investor confidence, and interest rates play a significant role in shaping the market. When the economy is growing and investor confidence is high, there is typically increased demand for commercial properties. Conversely, during periods of economic uncertainty or high interest rates, the market may experience a slowdown. Additionally, government policies and initiatives aimed at promoting investment and economic development can also impact the Commercial Real Estate market in South Africa.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on value of commercial real estate.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a bottom-up approach. As a basis for evaluating this market, we use national statistical offices. Next, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as share of industry, manufacturing, and services of the GPD, price level index, GDP. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the market, for example, exponential trend smoothing.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

Overview

  • Value
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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