Residential Real Estate Transactions - South Africa

  • South Africa
  • In South Africa, the market segment of Residential Real Estate Transactions market is set to witness a significant increase in its transaction value.
  • By 2024, it is projected to reach an impressive figure of US$6.78bn.
  • Looking ahead, the market is expected to maintain a steady growth rate with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of 5.03%.
  • This growth trajectory will eventually lead to a substantial market volume of approximately US$8.25bn by the year 2028.
  • Residential real estate transactions in South Africa are experiencing a surge due to increased demand from both local and international investors.

Key regions: Asia, Japan, China, Europe, Germany

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Residential Real Estate Transactions market in South Africa has been experiencing significant growth in recent years.

Customer preferences:
One of the key customer preferences in the South African residential real estate market is the desire for spacious and modern homes. Buyers are increasingly looking for properties that offer open floor plans, ample natural light, and contemporary design features. Additionally, there is a growing demand for properties with outdoor spaces such as gardens or balconies, as well as access to amenities such as gyms, swimming pools, and communal spaces. Location is also a major consideration for buyers, with properties in desirable neighborhoods or close to schools, shopping centers, and transport links being in high demand.

Trends in the market:
One of the major trends in the South African residential real estate market is the increasing popularity of gated communities and secure estates. These developments offer residents a sense of safety and security, as well as access to shared amenities and communal spaces. This trend is driven by the desire for a higher quality of life and a sense of community among residents. Another trend is the rise of mixed-use developments, which combine residential, commercial, and retail spaces in a single development. This trend is driven by the desire for convenience and accessibility, as well as the increasing popularity of urban living.

Local special circumstances:
South Africa has a diverse property market, with a range of options available to buyers. In major cities like Johannesburg and Cape Town, there is a high demand for luxury properties, particularly in exclusive neighborhoods. These properties often come with a premium price tag, but offer buyers a high standard of living and access to desirable amenities. In contrast, in more rural areas and smaller towns, there is a greater emphasis on affordability and value for money. Properties in these areas tend to be more affordable, making them attractive to first-time buyers and those looking for a more relaxed lifestyle.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth of the residential real estate market in South Africa can be attributed to several underlying macroeconomic factors. Firstly, there has been a steady increase in urbanization, with more people moving to cities in search of better job opportunities and a higher standard of living. This has created a demand for housing in urban areas, driving up prices and fueling the growth of the market. Additionally, low interest rates and favorable mortgage lending conditions have made it easier for buyers to enter the market and secure financing for their property purchases. Finally, government initiatives such as the provision of affordable housing and the promotion of homeownership have also contributed to the growth of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on total and average revenue of residential real estate transactions (sales).

Modeling approach:

Market size is determined by a bottom-up approach. We use national statistics, international organizations, and industry associations to analyze the markets. To estimate the market size for each country individually, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country specific industry associations such as GDP, price level index, household wealth, household size, number of renter and owner households, housing consumer spending per capita.

Forecasts:

We use a variety of forecasting techniques, depending on the behavior of the market, for instance, exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are GDP per capita, population, number of renter and owner households, price level index, housing consumer spending per capita.

Additional Notes:

Data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war considered at a country-specific level.

Overview

  • Volume
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Transaction Value
  • Real Estate Type
  • Living Space
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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