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Public Transportation - India

India

India is expected to see a significant growth in the Public Transportation market in the near future.
By 2024, revenue is projected to reach US$7.15bn.
This growth is expected to continue, with an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of -0.60%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$6.98bn by 2028.
Moreover, the number of users in India's Public Transportation market is expected to reach 0.98bn users by 2028.
User penetration, which is projected to be 67.7% in 2024, is expected to decrease slightly to 65.9% by 2028.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$7.33.
It is worth noting that online sales are projected to account for 28% of the total revenue generated in the Public Transportation market by 2028.
In comparison to other countries, United States is expected to generate the most revenue in the Public Transportation market, with US$50,310m projected in 2024.
However, India's growth in this sector is impressive and shows great potential for further development.
India's public transportation market is seeing a surge in demand for eco-friendly modes of travel, such as electric buses and metro rail systems.

Key regions: United States, Indonesia, China, Saudi Arabia, Europe

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Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in India is experiencing significant growth and development due to various factors.

Customer preferences: Customers in India are increasingly opting for public transportation due to its affordability and convenience. With the rising cost of private vehicles and the challenges of traffic congestion, many people are choosing to use public transportation as their primary mode of travel. Additionally, the increasing awareness about environmental sustainability has also led to a shift in customer preferences towards public transportation, as it is seen as a greener alternative to private vehicles.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the public transportation market in India is the expansion and modernization of metro rail networks in major cities. Metro rail systems provide a fast, efficient, and reliable mode of transportation, and their expansion is aimed at reducing traffic congestion and improving connectivity within cities. The government has been actively investing in the development of metro rail networks, which has led to an increase in the number of metro lines and stations across the country. Another trend in the market is the adoption of technology in public transportation services. Many cities in India have implemented smart card systems for ticketing, which allows passengers to easily pay for their fares and reduces the need for physical tickets. Additionally, mobile applications and online platforms have been introduced to provide real-time information on bus and train schedules, helping passengers plan their journeys more effectively.

Local special circumstances: India is a densely populated country with a large urban population, which presents unique challenges for public transportation. The high population density and limited road infrastructure in cities make it difficult to accommodate the growing number of vehicles. As a result, there is a need for efficient and reliable public transportation systems to cater to the needs of the population. The government has recognized this need and is actively working towards improving public transportation infrastructure and services.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth of the public transportation market in India is also influenced by underlying macroeconomic factors. The country has been experiencing rapid urbanization, with more people moving to cities in search of better job opportunities. This has led to an increase in the demand for public transportation services as people rely on them to commute to work and other destinations. Additionally, the government's focus on infrastructure development and initiatives such as the Smart Cities Mission have also contributed to the growth of the public transportation market in India. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in India is witnessing significant growth and development due to customer preferences for affordability and convenience, trends such as the expansion of metro rail networks and adoption of technology, local special circumstances such as high population density and limited road infrastructure, and underlying macroeconomic factors such as rapid urbanization and government initiatives for infrastructure development.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.