Train Tickets - Africa

  • Africa
  • The Train Tickets market in Africa is predicted to experience a substantial increase in revenue, with a projected value of US$0.76bn by 2024.
  • This growth is expected to continue with an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of 4.89%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$0.92bn by 2028.
  • Moreover, it is expected that the number of users in this market will reach 43.25m users by 2028, with a user penetration of 2.8% in 2024 and 3.0% by 2028.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is also predicted to increase, amounting to US$20.60.
  • It is noteworthy that 54% of the total revenue in the Train Tickets market is expected to be generated through online sales by 2028.
  • In comparison with other countries, China is expected to generate the most revenue in the Train Tickets market, with a projected value of US$72,940m in 2024.
  • Despite challenges with infrastructure, several African countries, including South Africa and Morocco, are investing in high-speed trains to boost economic growth.

Key regions: United States, South America, Europe, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Trains market in Africa is experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences:
Customer preferences in the Trains market in Africa are shifting towards more efficient and reliable transportation options. With the increasing urbanization and population growth in many African countries, there is a growing need for transportation systems that can accommodate the rising number of commuters. Trains offer a convenient and cost-effective mode of transport, especially for longer distances, and are therefore becoming increasingly popular among African consumers. Additionally, trains are seen as a more environmentally friendly option compared to other modes of transport, which is an important consideration for many customers in Africa.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Trains market in Africa is the expansion and modernization of existing rail networks. Many African countries are investing in the improvement of their rail infrastructure, including the construction of new railway lines, the upgrading of existing tracks, and the introduction of high-speed trains. These developments are aimed at increasing the capacity and efficiency of the rail networks, as well as improving the overall passenger experience. As a result, more people are opting to travel by train, leading to a growth in the Trains market in Africa. Another trend in the Trains market in Africa is the introduction of new train services and routes. Rail operators are constantly looking for opportunities to expand their offerings and attract more customers. This includes the introduction of new train services to popular tourist destinations, as well as the addition of new routes to connect previously underserved areas. These initiatives are aimed at diversifying the customer base and tapping into new markets, further driving the growth of the Trains market in Africa.

Local special circumstances:
The Trains market in Africa is influenced by several local special circumstances. One of these is the vast size of the continent, which presents unique challenges for transportation. Trains offer a practical solution for long-distance travel, as they can cover large distances more efficiently than other modes of transport. This makes trains particularly well-suited for connecting major cities and towns across Africa. Another special circumstance is the presence of natural resources in many African countries. The extraction and transportation of these resources often require efficient and reliable transportation systems, and trains are commonly used for this purpose. The demand for trains in these countries is therefore driven by the need to transport goods and resources, in addition to passenger travel.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
Several macroeconomic factors contribute to the development of the Trains market in Africa. Economic growth and increased investment in infrastructure are key drivers of the market. As African economies continue to expand, there is a greater need for reliable and efficient transportation systems to support economic activities. Governments and private investors are therefore allocating significant resources to the development of rail networks, which in turn drives the growth of the Trains market in Africa. Additionally, population growth and urbanization are important factors shaping the Trains market in Africa. As more people move to cities and urban areas, the demand for transportation options, including trains, increases. Trains offer a convenient and affordable mode of transport for urban commuters, and are therefore becoming an increasingly popular choice in many African cities. In conclusion, the Trains market in Africa is experiencing growth and development due to changing customer preferences, such as the need for efficient and reliable transportation options. The expansion and modernization of rail networks, the introduction of new train services and routes, and the presence of local special circumstances, such as the vast size of the continent and the need to transport natural resources, also contribute to the market's growth. Additionally, underlying macroeconomic factors, such as economic growth and population growth, further drive the development of the Trains market in Africa.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of train tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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