Bus Tickets - Africa

  • Africa
  • By 2024, the projected revenue in the Bus Tickets market of Africa is expected to reach US$296.10m.
  • The revenue is anticipated to grow annually at a rate of 1.17% between 2024 and 2028, which would result in a market volume projection of US$310.20m by 2028.
  • The number of users in the Bus Tickets market is expected to reach 18.62m users by 2028, with a user penetration projection of 1.4% in 2024 and 1.3% by 2028.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$16.89.
  • By 2028, online sales are expected to generate 39% of the total revenue in the Bus Tickets market.
  • When compared globally, China is projected to generate the highest revenue of US$5,003m in 2024.
  • In South Africa, the demand for eco-friendly buses has increased due to government regulations and a growing concern for the environment.

Key regions: Malaysia, Thailand, India, Saudi Arabia, Europe

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Buses market in Africa is experiencing significant growth and development due to several factors. Customer preferences for reliable and affordable transportation options, along with the increasing urbanization and population growth in many African countries, are driving the demand for buses. Additionally, local special circumstances and underlying macroeconomic factors are also contributing to the expansion of the market. Customer preferences in Africa are shifting towards more efficient and cost-effective transportation options. Buses offer a reliable and affordable means of transportation, especially for daily commuting and long-distance travel. With limited access to private vehicles and the high cost of fuel, buses provide a practical solution for many Africans. Furthermore, buses are often preferred over other modes of transportation due to their ability to accommodate a larger number of passengers, making them a more sustainable choice for crowded urban areas. Trends in the market indicate a growing demand for buses in Africa. Rapid urbanization and population growth in many African countries have resulted in increased demand for public transportation. As more people move to cities, the need for efficient and reliable transportation systems becomes crucial. Buses play a vital role in meeting this demand, as they can transport a large number of passengers at once. Additionally, the development of bus rapid transit (BRT) systems in some African cities has further fueled the demand for buses, as these systems require a fleet of buses to operate effectively. Local special circumstances also contribute to the development of the Buses market in Africa. Many African countries have limited infrastructure for private vehicles, making public transportation a necessity. In addition, the lack of alternative transportation options, such as trains or trams, further reinforces the demand for buses. Furthermore, the presence of informal and unregulated transportation systems, such as minibuses and shared taxis, creates an opportunity for formal bus operators to establish themselves as a reliable and regulated mode of transportation. Underlying macroeconomic factors also play a significant role in the growth of the Buses market in Africa. Economic growth and increased disposable income in some African countries have led to a rise in consumer spending, including transportation. Additionally, government initiatives to improve public transportation infrastructure and services have created a favorable environment for bus manufacturers and operators. These initiatives often involve investments in new buses, the development of bus terminals, and the implementation of regulations to ensure the safety and efficiency of bus operations. In conclusion, the Buses market in Africa is experiencing growth and development due to customer preferences for reliable and affordable transportation options, increasing urbanization and population growth, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The demand for buses is expected to continue rising as more people move to cities and as governments invest in public transportation infrastructure.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of bus tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Key Players
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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