Changes in trade flows and global supply chains following the COVID-19 pandemic 2020

Estimation of the changes in value added associated with the partial replacement of Chinese supplies of semi-finished and finished products and services after the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic worldwide and in Poland in 2020, by scenario*

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Release date

May 2020

Region

Worldwide, Poland, EU

Survey time period

May 2020

Supplementary notes

PIE own calculations based on: Trade in Value Added (2018).

* S1 - Southeast Asian countries are partially replacing China.
S2 - National patriotism - shifting supplies from China to national economies.
S3 - Central European countries are strengthening the role of "Europe's factory" for EU countries.
S4 - A mix of national patriotism and growing importance of Central European countries.

** EU-14: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden.

EU-13: Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Malta, Romania.

Other European countries: Iceland, Norway, Switzerland, United Kingdom.

CIS: Kazakhstan, Russia.

East Asia (excluding China): Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan.

South East Asia: Brunei Darussalam, Philippines, Indonesia, Cambodia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam.

North America: Canada, Mexico, United States.

South and Central America: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Peru.

Australia and Oceania: Australia, New Zealand.

North Africa and the Middle East: Saudi Arabia, Israel, Morocco, Tunisia.

Other countries: Turkey, South Africa, other countries.

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