UK: CO₂ emissions projections 2040

In recent decades the United Kingdom has been shifting away from coal-fired power and transitioning to clean energy sources. This has seen carbon dioxide emissions in the UK drop by more than 40 percent compared to 1990 levels. This trend is expected to continue in the coming decades, with projections showing that total carbon dioxide emissions will drop to 308 million metric tons by 2040.

Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2022 to 2040 (in million metric tons)

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Release date

October 2023

More information

Region

United Kingdom

Survey time period

2022 to 2040

Special properties

Net Zero Strategy baseline scenario based on emissions estimates from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) Assessment Report 5 without feedback global warming potentials

Supplementary notes

Based on central estimates of economic growth, fossil fuel prices, electricity generation costs, UK population and other key variables regularly updated. Contains all agreed policies where decisions on policy design are sufficiently advanced to allow robust estimates of impact (i.e. including “planned” policies).

This statistic uses original data from the Government Digital Service and includes copyright material licensed under © Crown, the Open Government License v3.0

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