UK: final energy consumption by type 2020-2040

Within the next two decades, natural gas is expected to surpass petroleum products as the highest source of final energy consumption in the United Kingdom (UK). By 2040, natural gas demand is forecast to reach 43.7 million tons of oil equivalent, up from 41.6 million tons in 2020. The final consumption of electricity in the UK is expected to grow by 30 percent between 2020 and 2040.

Forecast final energy consumption in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2040, by energy type (in 1,000 metric tons of oil equivalent)

Characteristic	Natural gas	Petroleum products	Electricity	Renewables	Solid / manufactured fuels*
-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-

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Release date

December 2021

More information

Region

United Kingdom

Survey time period

2021

Special properties

Net Zero Strategy Baseline; excluding international aviation

Supplementary notes

* Solid/Manufactured Fuels' includes steam coal, anthracite, manufactured sold fuels, benzole, tars, blast furnace gas and coke oven gas.

Projected data is taken from the reference scenario, which is based on central estimates of economic growth and fossil fuel prices and contains all agreed policies where decisions on policy design are sufficiently advanced to allow robust estimates of impact (i.e. including "planned" policies).

The government published its Net Zero Strategy on 19 October 2021. Main changes in the Net Zero Strategy Baseline, when compared to previous reference scenarios, can be found on the Net Zero Strategy report, pages 312-313.

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