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GDP forecast profiles under different UK/EU referendum scenario
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GDP forecast profiles under different UK/EU referendum scenario
GDP forecast profiles under different UK/EU referendum, by scenario
This graph shows a four year GDP forecast for the United Kingdom (UK) under three different scenarios. In the eventuality that the UK remains in the EU after the 2017 referendum, there would be an increase of 1.4 percent GDP. However, in the contrasting scenario whereby UK exits the EU, it is expected that there would be an initial decrease of 0.5 percent. The source forecasts that by 2019, the end result under each scenario would end within 0.6 percent of each other.
GDP forecast profiles under different UK/EU referendum, by scenario
| GDP (%YoY) – no referendum | GDP – UK remains in EU | GDP – UK leaves EU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | - |
| - | - | - | - |
| - | - | - | - |
| - | - | - | - |
| GDP (%YoY) – no referendum | GDP – UK remains in EU | GDP – UK leaves EU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | - |
| - | - | - | - |
| - | - | - | - |
| - | - | - | - |
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This graph shows a four year GDP forecast for the United Kingdom (UK) under three different scenarios. In the eventuality that the UK remains in the EU after the 2017 referendum, there would be an increase of 1.4 percent GDP. However, in the contrasting scenario whereby UK exits the EU, it is expected that there would be an initial decrease of 0.5 percent. The source forecasts that by 2019, the end result under each scenario would end within 0.6 percent of each other.
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- Release date
- February 2015
- Region
- United Kingdom
- Survey time period
- February 5, 2015
Source
- Show sources information
- Show publisher information
- Release date
- February 2015
More information
- Region
- United Kingdom
- Survey time period
- February 5, 2015
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Statistics on "EU membership referendum in the United Kingdom (UK)"
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The most important statistics
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The most important statistics
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Statistics on "EU membership referendum in the United Kingdom (UK)"
- Results of United Kingdom (UK) EU referendum on June 23, 2016
- Results of United Kingdom (UK) EU 'Brexit' referendum on June 23, 2016
- EU referendum results of the United Kingdom (UK) in 2016, by nation
- EU referendum voter turnout in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2016, by region
- Number of verified ballot papers in the during the EU referendum in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2016, by region
- Number of valid votes cast during the EU referendum of the United Kingdom (UK) on June 23rd, 2016, by region
- Number of ballot papers counted during the EU referendum of the United Kingdom (UK) on June 23rd, 2016, by region
- Number of rejected ballots from the EU referendum in the United Kingdom (UK) on June 23rd, 2016, by region
- Number of citizens entitled to cast a vote during the EU referendum in the United Kingdom (UK) on June 23rd, 2016, by region
- EU referendum voting intention in the United Kingdom (UK) from January to June 2016
- Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?
- Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?
- Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?
- Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?
- How do you intend to vote in response to the question: should the United Kingdom exit the EU?
- How do you intend to vote in response to the question: should the United Kingdom exit the EU?
- How do you intend to vote in response to the question: should the United Kingdom exit the EU?
- How do you intend to vote in response to the question: should the United Kingdom exit the EU?
- Based upon the information you know today, how would you vote?
- If you were eligible at the time, how did you vote in the UK European Economic Community membership referendum in 1975?
- Perceived likelihood of British citizens voting in the EU referendum in the Great Britain as of 2015
- Perceived likelihood of British citizens voting in the EU referendum in Great Britain as of 2016, by age
- Perceived likelihood of British citizens voting in the EU referendum in Great Britain as of 2016, by region
- A referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union is likely to be held in either 2016 or 2017. If the referendum were to be held tomorrow, do you think you would...
- A referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union is likely to be held in either 2016 or 2017. If the referendum were to be held tomorrow, do you think you would...
- When the referendum is held on 23rd June 2016, will you vote?
- When the referendum is held on 23rd June 2016, will you vote?
- When the referendum is held on 23rd June 2016, will you vote?
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- How well informed do you feel about the forthcoming referendum on the UK's membership of the EU?
- How well informed do you feel about the forthcoming referendum on the UK's membership of the EU?
- GDP forecast profiles under different UK/EU referendum, by scenario
- CPI forecast profiles under different UK referendum to stay or exit the EU from 2016 to 2019, by scenario
- Forecasted Bank of England (BoE) policy rate under different UK referendum scenarios for EU exit 2016-2019, by scenario
- Forecasted Euro (EUR) to Pound sterling (GBP) exchange rate profiles under Brexit referendum from 2016 to 2019*, by scenario
- Forecasted losses in UK total exports by main EU market in a post Brexit scenario as of 2015 (in billion GBP)
- Forecasted losses in United Kingdom (UK) total exports in a post-Brexit scenario 2015, by scenario and economic sector (in billion GBP)
- Forecasted change in GDP for selected European countries in 2030 as a result of the UK leaving the EU, by scenario*
- Forecasted change in UK travel and tourism arrivals from 2015 to 2016 as a result of the United Kingdom (UK) leaving the EU, by scenario
- Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?
- Public prediction of the EU referendum result in the United Kingdom (UK) as of 2016, by age
- Public prediction of the EU referendum result in Great Britain as of 2016, by employment status and gender
- United Kingdom: What is the UK’s membership of the EU beneficial for?
- Do you think it would have a good or bad effect on British jobs if we left the European Union, or would it make no difference?
- Do you think it would have a good or bad effect on the NHS if the UK left the European Union?
- Do you think your household will be better or worse off financially if Britain leaves the European Union?
- Would there be a good or a bad effect on people’s pensions if the UK left the European Union?
- Do you think Britain would be more or less at risk from terrorism if we left the European Union, or would it make no difference?
- Do you think Britain would have more or less influence in the world if we left the European Union, or would it make no difference?
- Would you personally be better or worse off if the UK left the European Union?
- In what form would you like the UK to leave the EU?
- In what form would you like the UK to leave the EU?
- In what form would you like the UK to remain a member of the EU?
- United Kingdom: to what extent do you agree or disagree with Britain’s membership of the EU being beneficial for the nation?
- United Kingdom: to what extent do you agree or disagree with Britain’s membership of the EU being beneficial for your business?
- In the upcoming referendum, do you think the UK will vote to...
- Perceived personal financial benefits of leaving the EU in the United Kingdom (UK) as of 2016, by age and gender
- Perceived personal financial benefits of leaving the EU by the United Kingdom (UK) as of 2016, by region
- Perceived personal financial benefits of leaving the EU in the United Kingdom (UK) 2016, by employment and gender
- United Kingdom (UK) public opinion: to what extent do you agree or disagree with the following? The Britain’s membership of the EU is beneficial for the economy
- British public's perceived personal and financial benefits of leaving the EU in the United Kingdom (UK) as of 2016, by age
- Public prediction of the EU referendum result in Great Britain (GB) in 2016, by age and gender
- Public prediction of the EU referendum result in Great Britain (GB), by past vote
- Public prediction of the EU referendum result in Great Britain (GB) in 2016, by social grade
- Perceived financial outcome if the United Kingdom (UK) leaves the EU in Great Britain (GB) in 2016, by social grade
- Perceived financial outcome if the United Kingdom (UK) leaves the EU in Great Britain (GB) in 2016, by social class and gender
- Perceived personal financial benefits of leaving the EU in the United Kingdom (UK) as of 2016, by parenthood and gender
- In the three years after an exit, how would Brexit affect your country's employment levels?
- Share of opinion on the possible effect Brexit would have on the UK National Health Service (NHS) in 2016
- Perceived knowledge levels of the EU referendum by small business owners in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2015
- Perceived knowledge levels of EU referendum from a business perspective in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2015
- Perceived knowledge levels of UK/EU referendum from a business perspective in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2015, by nation
- Perceived benefits of the UK's membership in EU for small business in the United Kingdom (UK) as of 2015
- Small business: based upon the information you know today, how would you vote in the EU referendum?
- Should the UK leave the European Union?*
- If there was a referendum on the UK's continued membership of the EU tomorrow, what result would be the best for your business?
- In the three years after an exit, how would Brexit affect your industry's revenue?
- In the three years after an exit, how would Brexit affect your industry's investment levels?
- In the three years after an exit, how would Brexit affect your industry's employment levels?
- In the three years after an exit, how would Brexit affect your company's revenue?
- In the three years after an exit, how would Brexit affect your company's investment levels?
- In the three years after an exit, how would Brexit affect your company's employment levels?
- What impact would the withdrawal from the EU have on your business?
- What impact would remaining in EU have on your business?
- What impact would withdrawal from the EU have on your business?
- What impact would the UK remaining in the EU have on your business?
- What impact would the UK remaining in the EU have on your business?
- What impact would the UK withdrawal from the EU have on your business?
- Once the Brexit negotiations are complete and the terms of Britain's exit from the EU have been agreed, do you think there should or should not be a referendum to accept or reject them?
- How do you think the UK leaving the EU will affect your pension over the next five years?
- How do you think the UK leaving the EU will affect your pension over the next five years?
- Distribution of opinion in Great Britain regarding the rightfulness of David Cameron's decision to hold a referendum on the membership of the European Union in 2017
- Sectors with the biggest forecasted export losses in the Netherlands in 2019 in the event of a no-deal Brexit scenario
- How well informed do you feel about the forthcoming referendum on the UK's membership of the EU?
- Now that the result has been announced, do you regret voting leave in the EU referendum?
- Share of consumers who believe that Brexit will have a positive impact on their spending in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2017, by category and referendum vote
- Should there be another general election before negotiations start so that people can vote on political parties’ plans for Britain’s future relationship with the European Union?
- Short-term forecast of the household consumption in the Netherlands following the UK Brexit referendum from 2014 to 2017
- Percentage change of the labor productivity in Luxembourg from 2014 to 2017, with a forecast for 2018 to 2020
- Should Britain continue to allow EU citizens to live and work here in return for access to the EU single market or should it stop EU citizens coming to live and work here even if that restricts Britain’s access to the single market?
- Will Brexit lead to strong economic damage in Germany?
- Do you think the Prime Minister should be able to activate Article 50 or do you think that the decision should be made from MP's by a vote in Parliament?*
- Do you think the Brexit is economically harmful for the Netherlands?*
- Impact of Brexit on menswear shopping in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2016
- When Britain leaves the European Union, how do you think the price of your own weekly shop will go up or down, or stay much the same?
- Public opinion of Americans on the economic power of China as threat to U.S. vital interests from 2013 to 2015
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