Flights - South Africa

  • South Africa
  • South Africa is projected to witness significant growth in the Flights market revenue, with a projected revenue of US$1.31bn by 2024.
  • The revenue is expected to exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of 0.75%, leading to a projected market volume of US$1.35bn by 2028.
  • Furthermore, the Flights market is expected to witness an increase in the number of users, with a projected amount of 4.65m users users by 2028.
  • The user penetration is projected to be 6.9% in 2024 and 7.3% by 2028.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is anticipated to be US$0.31k.
  • Additionally, the online sales are expected to generate 92% of the total revenue in the Flights market by 2028.
  • In a global comparison, China is expected to generate the most revenue, with a projected revenue of US$136bn in 2024.
  • South Africa's domestic flight market has been impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, with reduced capacity and increased safety measures.

Key regions: Germany, China, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Thailand

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Flights market in South Africa is experiencing significant growth and development, driven by various factors including customer preferences, market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences:
Customers in South Africa are increasingly valuing convenience and efficiency when it comes to air travel. With busy schedules and limited time, travelers are looking for flights that offer direct routes and shorter travel times. They are also seeking competitive prices and value for money, as well as reliable and high-quality service. Additionally, customers are becoming more environmentally conscious and are choosing airlines that prioritize sustainability and carbon offset programs.

Trends in the market:
The Flights market in South Africa is witnessing a shift towards low-cost carriers. These airlines offer affordable fares and flexible travel options, appealing to budget-conscious travelers. The rise of low-cost carriers has led to increased competition in the market, forcing traditional full-service airlines to adapt and offer more competitive pricing and services. Another trend in the market is the growth of regional and domestic travel. South Africa has a diverse range of attractions and destinations, from vibrant cities to stunning natural landscapes. This has led to an increase in domestic tourism, with more South Africans opting to explore their own country. As a result, airlines are expanding their domestic routes and offering more frequent flights to cater to this growing demand.

Local special circumstances:
South Africa has a unique geographical location, making it a popular hub for international travel. The country serves as a gateway to other African countries, attracting both business and leisure travelers. This has led to an increase in international flights, as airlines recognize the potential of connecting South Africa to other global destinations. Furthermore, South Africa has a well-developed tourism industry, with attractions such as wildlife safaris, wine regions, and cultural heritage sites. This has contributed to the growth of the Flights market, as tourists from around the world visit the country for these unique experiences.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Flights market in South Africa is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as GDP growth, exchange rates, and government policies. Economic growth and stability play a crucial role in determining consumer spending power and travel demand. A strong economy encourages more people to travel, both domestically and internationally. Exchange rates also impact the Flights market, as they affect the cost of aviation fuel and aircraft maintenance, which are often priced in foreign currencies. Fluctuations in exchange rates can influence ticket prices and profitability for airlines. Government policies and regulations also shape the Flights market in South Africa. The government plays a role in promoting tourism, attracting foreign airlines, and ensuring safety and security in the aviation industry. Policies related to visa requirements, airport infrastructure, and airline regulations can have a significant impact on the growth and development of the market. In conclusion, the Flights market in South Africa is experiencing growth and development due to customer preferences for convenience and efficiency, market trends such as the rise of low-cost carriers and domestic travel, local special circumstances including South Africa's geographical location and tourism industry, and underlying macroeconomic factors such as GDP growth, exchange rates, and government policies. These factors are shaping the market and driving the demand for flights in South Africa.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of flights.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Key Players
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • User Demographics
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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