Forecast carbon offset price 2030-2050

Carbon offset prices could reach as high as 224 U.S. dollars per ton of carbon dioxide by 2030, and 120 dollars per ton by 2050. This forecast is based on a limited supply of offset credits, from removed emissions only. In contrast, if the carbon offset market remains similar to its current state, a supply glut will keep prices low, at 11 dollars per ton by 2030.

Forecast carbon offset prices in 2030 and 2050, by scenario (in U.S. dollars per ton of carbon dioxide)

Characteristic	2030	2050
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Release date

January 2022

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Region

Worldwide

Survey time period

2022

Supplementary notes

According to the source:

Voluntary market scenario: assumes the offset market remains similar to how it looks today. All types of supply are permitted, including offsets that avoid emissions instead of removing them.

Science Based Targets initiatives (SBTI) scenario: limits supply to removal offsets like reforestation and nascent technologies such as direct air capture.

Hybrid scenario: looks at a gradual evolution of the offset market, from the voluntary market today, to a removal-only market.

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