As of 2024, Vanguard projected global equities of developed markets had the potential to generate the highest return over a 10-year investment period. U.S.-based equities were projected to provide a maximum return of 6.2 percent. The forecast 10-year return on both global and U.S.-based bonds was relatively similar with variations of just 10 basis points (BPS) or 0.1 percent between both minimum and maximum forecast values.
Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized return spread in the United States and worldwide in 2024, by security type
The source adds the following information: The projections and other information generated by the Vanguard Capital Markets Model (VCMM) regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results. Distribution of return outcomes from VCMM are derived from 10,000 simulations for each modeled asset class. Simulations as of September 30, 2023. Results from the model may vary with each use and over time. For more information, please see below.
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Vanguard. (December 12, 2023). Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized return spread in the United States and worldwide in 2024, by security type [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved October 12, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1368177/vanguards-10-year-annualized-return-projections-united-states-and-worldwide-by-security-type/
Vanguard. "Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized return spread in the United States and worldwide in 2024, by security type." Chart. December 12, 2023. Statista. Accessed October 12, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1368177/vanguards-10-year-annualized-return-projections-united-states-and-worldwide-by-security-type/
Vanguard. (2023). Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized return spread in the United States and worldwide in 2024, by security type. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: October 12, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1368177/vanguards-10-year-annualized-return-projections-united-states-and-worldwide-by-security-type/
Vanguard. "Vanguard’s Forecast 10-year Annualized Return Spread in The United States and Worldwide in 2024, by Security Type." Statista, Statista Inc., 12 Dec 2023, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1368177/vanguards-10-year-annualized-return-projections-united-states-and-worldwide-by-security-type/
Vanguard, Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized return spread in the United States and worldwide in 2024, by security type Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1368177/vanguards-10-year-annualized-return-projections-united-states-and-worldwide-by-security-type/ (last visited October 12, 2024)
Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized return spread in the United States and worldwide in 2024, by security type [Graph], Vanguard, December 12, 2023. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1368177/vanguards-10-year-annualized-return-projections-united-states-and-worldwide-by-security-type/
