As of 2024, Vanguard has projected that unhedged global equities have the potential to provide the highest return on a 10-year investment period. Unhedged global equities equities had a projected minimum return of 6.9 percent and a forecast maximum potential of 8.9 percent. In addition, unhedged global developed markets equities also had a similar potential return.
Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized return spread on U.S. and global equity securities in 2024, by equity type
Forecast based on the running of the Vanguard Capital Markets Model (VCMM)
Supplementary notes
The source adds the following information: Our 10-year annualized nominal return and volatility forecasts are shown below. They are based on the December 31, 2023, running of the Vanguard Capital Markets Model® (VCMM). Equity returns reflect a 2-point range around the 50th percentile of the distribution of probable outcomes. Fixed income returns reflect a 1-point range around the 50th percentile. More extreme returns are possible.
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Vanguard. (April 23, 2024). Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized return spread on U.S. and global equity securities in 2024, by equity type [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved December 08, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1370875/vanguards-forecast-10-year-annualized-return-spread-on-us-and-global-equities-by-security-type/
Vanguard. "Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized return spread on U.S. and global equity securities in 2024, by equity type." Chart. April 23, 2024. Statista. Accessed December 08, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1370875/vanguards-forecast-10-year-annualized-return-spread-on-us-and-global-equities-by-security-type/
Vanguard. (2024). Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized return spread on U.S. and global equity securities in 2024, by equity type. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: December 08, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1370875/vanguards-forecast-10-year-annualized-return-spread-on-us-and-global-equities-by-security-type/
Vanguard. "Vanguard’s Forecast 10-year Annualized Return Spread on U.S. and Global Equity Securities in 2024, by Equity Type." Statista, Statista Inc., 23 Apr 2024, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1370875/vanguards-forecast-10-year-annualized-return-spread-on-us-and-global-equities-by-security-type/
Vanguard, Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized return spread on U.S. and global equity securities in 2024, by equity type Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1370875/vanguards-forecast-10-year-annualized-return-spread-on-us-and-global-equities-by-security-type/ (last visited December 08, 2024)
Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized return spread on U.S. and global equity securities in 2024, by equity type [Graph], Vanguard, April 23, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1370875/vanguards-forecast-10-year-annualized-return-spread-on-us-and-global-equities-by-security-type/
