Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized return spread on U.S. and global equities 2024

Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized return spread on U.S. and global equity securities in 2024, by equity type

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Release date

April 2024

Region

Worldwide, United States

Survey time period

December 2023

Special properties

Forecast based on the running of the Vanguard Capital Markets Model (VCMM)

Supplementary notes

The source adds the following information: Our 10-year annualized nominal return and volatility forecasts are shown below. They are based on the December 31, 2023, running of the Vanguard Capital Markets Model® (VCMM). Equity returns reflect a 2-point range around the 50th percentile of the distribution of probable outcomes. Fixed income returns reflect a 1-point range around the 50th percentile. More extreme returns are possible.

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