Shown here is the medium-growth scenario which contains the following assumptions at the Canada level: the total fertility rate reaches 1.59 children per woman in 2042/2043 and remains constant thereafter; life expectancy at birth reaches 83.7 years for males and 87.4 years for females in 2042/2043; interprovincial migration is based on linear interpolation of recently observed migration rates (average of rates observed between 2018/2019 and 2020/2021) to rates observed over a long period (average periods 1991/1992 to 2016/2017) reached in 2030/2031, and rates that remain constant thereafter; the immigration rate reaches 0.83% in 2042/2043 and remains constant thereafter; the annual number of non-permanent residents reaches 1,795,800 in 2043 and remains constant thereafter; the net emigration rate reaches 0.15% in 2042/2043 and remains constant thereafter.
Adapted from Statistics Canada, statcan.gc.ca, 2024. This does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada of this product.
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StatCan. (June 24, 2024). Population projection for Canada in 2024 and 2048, by province (in 1,000s) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved September 01, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/481509/canada-population-projection-by-province/
StatCan. "Population projection for Canada in 2024 and 2048, by province (in 1,000s)." Chart. June 24, 2024. Statista. Accessed September 01, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/481509/canada-population-projection-by-province/
StatCan. (2024). Population projection for Canada in 2024 and 2048, by province (in 1,000s). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: September 01, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/481509/canada-population-projection-by-province/
StatCan. "Population Projection for Canada in 2024 and 2048, by Province (in 1,000s)." Statista, Statista Inc., 24 Jun 2024, https://www.statista.com/statistics/481509/canada-population-projection-by-province/
StatCan, Population projection for Canada in 2024 and 2048, by province (in 1,000s) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/481509/canada-population-projection-by-province/ (last visited September 01, 2024)
Population projection for Canada in 2024 and 2048, by province (in 1,000s) [Graph], StatCan, June 24, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/481509/canada-population-projection-by-province/