Canada: population projection 2022-2043, by province

Population projection for Canada in 2022 and 2043, by province

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Release date

August 2022



Survey time period


Supplementary notes

Shown here is the medium-growth scenario which contains the following assumptions at the Canada level: the total fertility rate reaches 1.59 children per woman in 2042/2043 and remains constant thereafter; life expectancy at birth reaches 83.7 years for males and 87.4 years for females in 2042/2043; interprovincial migration is based on linear interpolation of recently observed migration rates (average of rates observed between 2018/2019 and 2020/2021) to rates observed over a long period of time (average periods 1991/1992 to 2016/2017) reached in 2030/2031, and rates that remain constant thereafter; the immigration rate reaches 0.83% in 2042/2043 and remains constant thereafter; the annual number of non-permanent residents reaches 1,795,800 in 2043 and remains constant thereafter; the net emigration rate reaches 0.15% in 2042/2043 and remains constant thereafter. Adapted from Statistics Canada,, 2022. This does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada of this product.

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