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Potential effect on GDP if the UK exits the EU
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Potential effect on GDP if the UK exits the EU
Forecasted change in GDP for selected European countries in 2030 as a result of the UK leaving the EU, by scenario*
This graph shows the predicted change in real GDP per capita in 2030 for different “Brexit” scenarios in comparison to GDP per capita if the UK remains in the EU. Two different scenarios were considered. In the case of a total isolation from the EU, it was predicted that the GDP of the UK would be negatively affected to the tune of 2.98 percent.
Forecasted change in GDP for selected European countries in 2030 as a result of the UK leaving the EU, by scenario*
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| Soft exit | Isolation of UK | |
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This graph shows the predicted change in real GDP per capita in 2030 for different “Brexit” scenarios in comparison to GDP per capita if the UK remains in the EU. Two different scenarios were considered. In the case of a total isolation from the EU, it was predicted that the GDP of the UK would be negatively affected to the tune of 2.98 percent.
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- Release date
- 2015
- Region
- Europe, United Kingdom
- Survey time period
- May 2015
- Supplementary notes
- * Real GDP per capita
Source
- Show sources information
- Show publisher information
- Release date
- 2015
More information
- Region
- Europe, United Kingdom
- Survey time period
- May 2015
- Supplementary notes
- * Real GDP per capita
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EU membership referendum in the United Kingdom (UK)
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Statistics on "EU membership referendum in the United Kingdom (UK)"
- Voting outcome
The most important statistics
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- Results of United Kingdom (UK) EU 'Brexit' referendum on June 23, 2016EU 'Brexit' referendum results, by number of votes
- EU referendum results of the United Kingdom (UK) in 2016, by nationUnited Kingdom (UK): EU referendum results in 2016, by nation
- EU referendum voter turnout in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2016, by regionEU referendum voter turnout 2016, by region
- Number of verified ballot papers in the during the EU referendum in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2016, by regionNumber of verified ballot papers from the EU referendum 2016, by UK region
- Number of valid votes cast during the EU referendum of the United Kingdom (UK) on June 23rd, 2016, by regionUnited Kingdom (UK): number of valid votes from the EU referendum 2016, by region
- Number of ballot papers counted during the EU referendum of the United Kingdom (UK) on June 23rd, 2016, by regionUK: number of counted ballot papers from the EU referendum 2016, by region
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- Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?EU referendum voting intention in Great Britain (GB) 2016, by social class and gender
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- A referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union is likely to be held in either 2016 or 2017. If the referendum were to be held tomorrow, do you think you would...Likelihood of voting in the EU referendum in the UK 2016, by age and gender
- When the referendum is held on 23rd June 2016, will you vote?UK: likelihood of voting in the EU referendum 2016, by parenthood and gender
- When the referendum is held on 23rd June 2016, will you vote?GB: likelihood of voting in the EU referendum 2016, by employment and gender
- When the referendum is held on 23rd June 2016, will you vote?United Kingdom: likelihood of voting in the EU referendum 2016, by past 2015 vote
- Financial forecasts
The most important statistics
- GDP forecast profiles under different UK/EU referendum, by scenarioGDP forecast profiles under different UK/EU referendum scenario
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- Forecasted Bank of England (BoE) policy rate under different UK referendum scenarios for EU exit 2016-2019, by scenarioForecasted BoE policy rate under different UK/EU referendum scenarios 2016-2019
- Forecasted Euro (EUR) to Pound sterling (GBP) exchange rate profiles under Brexit referendum from 2016 to 2019*, by scenarioForecasted EUR GBP exchange rate profiles under different Brexit scenarios 2016-2019
- Forecasted losses in UK total exports by main EU market in a post Brexit scenario as of 2015 (in billion GBP)Post-Brexit: forecasted losses in UK total exports by main EU market 2015
- Forecasted losses in United Kingdom (UK) total exports in a post-Brexit scenario 2015, by scenario and economic sector (in billion GBP) Post-Brexit: forecasted losses in total UK exports 2015, by scenario and sector
- Forecasted change in GDP for selected European countries in 2030 as a result of the UK leaving the EU, by scenario*Potential effect on GDP if the UK exits the EU
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The most important statistics
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- Public prediction of the EU referendum result in the United Kingdom (UK) as of 2016, by agePredicted result of the EU referendum in the UK 2016, by age
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- United Kingdom: What is the UK’s membership of the EU beneficial for?Perceived benefits of EU membership for small businesses as of 2015, by nation
- Do you think it would have a good or bad effect on British jobs if we left the European Union, or would it make no difference?UK/EU referendum opinion: effect on job market 2016
- Do you think it would have a good or bad effect on the NHS if the UK left the European Union?UK/EU referendum opinion: predicted change to the NHS 2016
- Do you think your household will be better or worse off financially if Britain leaves the European Union?Perception of the effect of a "Brexit" on personal finances in the UK 2016, by age
- Would there be a good or a bad effect on people’s pensions if the UK left the European Union?UK/EU referendum opinion: predicted change to pensions 2016
- Public perception
The most important statistics
- In the upcoming referendum, do you think the UK will vote to...Predicted result of the EU referendum in Great Britain (GB) 2016
- Perceived personal financial benefits of leaving the EU in the United Kingdom (UK) as of 2016, by age and genderPerceived financial benefits of leaving the EU in the UK 2016, by age and gender
- Perceived personal financial benefits of leaving the EU by the United Kingdom (UK) as of 2016, by regionPersonal benefits of leaving the EU during Brexit in the UK 2016, by region
- Perceived personal financial benefits of leaving the EU in the United Kingdom (UK) 2016, by employment and genderPerceived personal benefits of leaving the EU in the UK 2016, by employment & gender
- United Kingdom (UK) public opinion: to what extent do you agree or disagree with the following? The Britain’s membership of the EU is beneficial for the economyPerceived benefit of EU on UK economy from small business owners in the UK 2015
- British public's perceived personal and financial benefits of leaving the EU in the United Kingdom (UK) as of 2016, by agePredicted personal benefit of leaving the EU in the UK 2016, by age
- Public prediction of the EU referendum result in Great Britain (GB) in 2016, by age and genderPredicted result of the EU referendum in Great Britain (GB) 2016, by age and gender
- Public prediction of the EU referendum result in Great Britain (GB), by past votePredicted result of the EU referendum in Great Britain (GB) 2016, by past vote
- Business perception
The most important statistics
- Perceived knowledge levels of the EU referendum by small business owners in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2015Small business owner's perceived knowledge levels of the EU referendum in the UK 2015
- Perceived knowledge levels of EU referendum from a business perspective in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2015Perceived knowledge level of EU referendum from a business perspective in the UK 2015
- Perceived knowledge levels of UK/EU referendum from a business perspective in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2015, by nationKnowledge levels of UK/EU referendum from a business perspective UK 2015, by nation
- United Kingdom: Which of the following best describes how you feel about the EU debate at this time?Small business owner's views on EU referendum debate in the UK 2015, by exports
- Perceived benefits of the UK's membership in EU for small business in the United Kingdom (UK) as of 2015UK's membership in EU benefits for small British businesses in 2015
- Small business: based upon the information you know today, how would you vote in the EU referendum?UK/EU referendum: voting intention of small business owners in the UK 2015, by nation
- Should the UK leave the European Union?*EU referendum voting intention in 2016, by British and German business executives
- If there was a referendum on the UK's continued membership of the EU tomorrow, what result would be the best for your business?SMMT member opinions on United Kingdom membership in the EU 2104
- Business predictions: post-Brexit scenarios
The most important statistics
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- In the three years after an exit, how would Brexit affect your industry's investment levels?Business perspective: how Brexit would affect industry investment levels UK 2016
- In the three years after an exit, how would Brexit affect your industry's employment levels?Business perspective: how Brexit would affect industry employment levels UK 2016
- In the three years after an exit, how would Brexit affect your company's revenue?Business perspective: how Brexit would affect company revenues in the UK 2016
- In the three years after an exit, how would Brexit affect your company's investment levels?Business perspective: how Brexit would affect company investment levels UK 2016
- In the three years after an exit, how would Brexit affect your company's employment levels?Business perspective: how Brexit would affect company employment levels UK 2016
- What impact would the withdrawal from the EU have on your business?Perceived impact on small business if the UK withdraws from the EU 2015
- What impact would remaining in EU have on your business?Perceived impact on small business if the UK remains within the EU 2015
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Statistics on "EU membership referendum in the United Kingdom (UK)"
- Results of United Kingdom (UK) EU referendum on June 23, 2016
- Results of United Kingdom (UK) EU 'Brexit' referendum on June 23, 2016
- EU referendum results of the United Kingdom (UK) in 2016, by nation
- EU referendum voter turnout in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2016, by region
- Number of verified ballot papers in the during the EU referendum in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2016, by region
- Number of valid votes cast during the EU referendum of the United Kingdom (UK) on June 23rd, 2016, by region
- Number of ballot papers counted during the EU referendum of the United Kingdom (UK) on June 23rd, 2016, by region
- Number of rejected ballots from the EU referendum in the United Kingdom (UK) on June 23rd, 2016, by region
- Number of citizens entitled to cast a vote during the EU referendum in the United Kingdom (UK) on June 23rd, 2016, by region
- EU referendum voting intention in the United Kingdom (UK) from January to June 2016
- Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?
- Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?
- Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?
- Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?
- How do you intend to vote in response to the question: should the United Kingdom exit the EU?
- How do you intend to vote in response to the question: should the United Kingdom exit the EU?
- How do you intend to vote in response to the question: should the United Kingdom exit the EU?
- How do you intend to vote in response to the question: should the United Kingdom exit the EU?
- Based upon the information you know today, how would you vote?
- If you were eligible at the time, how did you vote in the UK European Economic Community membership referendum in 1975?
- Perceived likelihood of British citizens voting in the EU referendum in the Great Britain as of 2015
- Perceived likelihood of British citizens voting in the EU referendum in Great Britain as of 2016, by age
- Perceived likelihood of British citizens voting in the EU referendum in Great Britain as of 2016, by region
- A referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union is likely to be held in either 2016 or 2017. If the referendum were to be held tomorrow, do you think you would...
- A referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union is likely to be held in either 2016 or 2017. If the referendum were to be held tomorrow, do you think you would...
- When the referendum is held on 23rd June 2016, will you vote?
- When the referendum is held on 23rd June 2016, will you vote?
- When the referendum is held on 23rd June 2016, will you vote?
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- How well informed do you feel about the forthcoming referendum on the UK's membership of the EU?
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- Forecasted Bank of England (BoE) policy rate under different UK referendum scenarios for EU exit 2016-2019, by scenario
- Forecasted Euro (EUR) to Pound sterling (GBP) exchange rate profiles under Brexit referendum from 2016 to 2019*, by scenario
- Forecasted losses in UK total exports by main EU market in a post Brexit scenario as of 2015 (in billion GBP)
- Forecasted losses in United Kingdom (UK) total exports in a post-Brexit scenario 2015, by scenario and economic sector (in billion GBP)
- Forecasted change in GDP for selected European countries in 2030 as a result of the UK leaving the EU, by scenario*
- Forecasted change in UK travel and tourism arrivals from 2015 to 2016 as a result of the United Kingdom (UK) leaving the EU, by scenario
- Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?
- Public prediction of the EU referendum result in the United Kingdom (UK) as of 2016, by age
- Public prediction of the EU referendum result in Great Britain as of 2016, by employment status and gender
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- Do you think Britain would have more or less influence in the world if we left the European Union, or would it make no difference?
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- In what form would you like the UK to leave the EU?
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