Forecasted electoral votes earned by U.S. presidential candidates, by lean 2020

Forecasted number of Electoral College votes earned by presidential candidates in the 2020 U.S. presidential election, by lean

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Release date

October 2020


United States

Survey time period

October 2020

Supplementary notes

The source conducted an analysis based on six potential election scenarios, and puts states into three categories:
Likely Republican or Likely Democrat: states that appear firmly behind one candidate and are unlikely to change.
Lean Republican or Lean Democrat: states that appear to favor one candidate, but remain competitive.
Toss-up: the most competitive states that either candidate has a good chance to win.

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