2016 Election - Statistics & Facts

2016 Election - Statistics & Facts

Statistics and facts on the 2016 US Election

The United States presidential election occurred on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. In an upset that stunned the world, Donald Trump was elected the 45th President of the United States. Preliminary results show Trump winning 290 votes to Clinton’s 232. Preliminary results also project Clinton narrowly winning the popular vote with 61.03 million votes to Trump’s 60.37 million. This is only the fifth time in U.S. history that a candidate has won the popular vote and lost the Electoral College.

Donald Trump secured the Republican nomination on July 19, 2016, defeating Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and John Kasich along the way. He surpassed the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination, taking 1,542 votes.

Hillary Clinton was officially announced as the Democratic Party nominee on July 26, 2016, having beaten Bernie Sanders with a total of 2,811 delegates. The Democratic Party primary race requires a total of 2,383 votes to win the nomination.

Both parties' candidates received a "convention bounce" following their party’s convention, with Hillary Clinton exiting the conventions with nearly an 8-point lead over Donald Trump. As of November 7, Clinton’s lead had narrowed to only 3.2 percent nationally. During this time many states that had seemed likely to vote in Clinton’s favor had narrowed enough that as of November 7, RealClearPolitics had 171 Electoral College votes designated as a toss-up between Clinton and Trump. These include valuable electoral states that Obama won in 2008 and 2012, like Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania. At the time of publication, Trump had won Ohio and Pennsylvania while Michigan was still in contention.

One reason for such a tight race may have been both candidates’ unprecedentedly low favorability numbers. Trump and Clinton rank as numbers one and two in unfavorability ratings of presidential nominees since 1956. As of November 7, Clinton and Trump were found to be unfavorable by 54.4 and 58.5 percent of people respectively.

Spending and fundraising were ramped up by both candidates towards the end of the election, but the Clinton campaign consistently outpaced Trump, raising nearly 60 million U.S. dollars in August, compared to the Trump campaign’s 41 million. While Clinton has not been able to match Obama’s record fundraising with small donors, she has received 150 million U.S. dollars from donations under 200 dollars, triple the amount Trump has raised thus far.

The Democrats also lead when it came to advertising. As of August 18, Clinton had aired 309,992 ads promoting her campaign; double that of Donald Trump’s campaign at 114,534 airings.

Groups outside the official campaigns, such as Super PACs, continued to have a growing role in the election cycle. As of August 1, outside groups had sponsored over 32 percent of political ads for 2016 federal elections in the U.S., double the percentage in 2010, the year of the historic Citizens United v. FEC Supreme Court ruling.

As of September 22, outside groups had spent over 755 million U.S. dollars during the 2016 election cycle. This puts 2016 on track to have the highest spending by outside groups to date. The vast majority of spending is being done by Super PACs, groups who may not coordinate with a candidate’s campaign but may raise and spend unlimited amounts of money to advocate for or discourage the election of a candidate.

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Facts on 2016 presidential election
Trump vs. ClintonStatistic
National polls: Clinton vs. TrumpClinton +3.2 Details →
Are the candidates qualified to be president? Percent yesClinton 51%, Trump 32% Details →
Are the candidates honest and trustworthy? Percent yesClinton 25%, Trump 30% Details →
Favorability of Donald Trump37.5% Details →
Favorability of Hillary Clinton42.3% Details →
Money raceStatistic
Money raised by Clinton campaign in November 201670.2m USD Details →
Money raised by Trump campaign in November 201686.1m USD Details →
Contributions of less than 200 U.S. dollars to Hillary Clinton's campaign316.7m USD Details →
Contributions of less than 200 U.S. dollars to Donald Trump's campaign119.7m USD Details →
Poll on who won the first Trump - Clinton debateClinton 62%, Trump 27% Details →
Number of TV viewers of the first Trump - Clinton debate84.01 million Details →
Poll on who won the second Trump - Clinton debateClinton 57%, Trump 34% Details →
Number of TV viewers of the second Trump - Clinton debate66.55 million Details →
Poll on who won the third Trump - Clinton debateClinton 52%, Trump 39% Details →
Number of TV viewers of the third Trump - Clinton debate71.56 million Details →
Business sentimentStatistic
Share of small and medium businesses publicly supporting a 2016 presidential candidate26% Details →
Share of small and medium businesses that have contributed to past presidential campaigns40.4% Details →
Share of SMEs that believe the economy will improve at least somewhat under a Trump or Clinton presidencyTrump 49.1%, Clinton 29.8% Details →
Share of SMEs expecting a dramatic change to their enterprise under a Trump or Clinton presidencyTrump 35.6%, Clinton 19.23% Details →
Share of SMEs that believe presidents have a strong impact on business51% Details →
Share of SMEs that believe Obama's economic policies had a positive impact on their business31.7% Details →

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