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Projected GHG emissions in the United Kingdom (UK) 2018-2040, by sector

Published by Ian Tiseo, Apr 8, 2021
Greenhouse gas emissions in the United Kingdom are projected to decline in the coming decades across most sectors. Transportation emissions are projected to reduce by 32 percent compared to 2018 levels to 84 million metric tons of CO2 equivalent, while energy supply emissions will drop by an estimated 50 percent. In comparison, residential emissions are projected to increase by 11 percent to 77 million metric tons of CO2 equivalent. The transportation sector is currently the biggest source of GHG emissions in the UK.

Projected greenhouse gas emissions in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2018 to 2040, by sector* (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent)

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Source

Release date

December 2020

Region

United Kingdom

Survey time period

2018 to 2040

Supplementary notes

*Based on central estimates of economic growth and fossil fuel prices. Contains all agreed policies where decisions on policy design are sufficiently advanced to allow robust estimates of impact (i.e. including “planned” policies).

The source states that estimates in this report are based on policy analysis from August 2019 and modelling from March 2020. The latter of which was completed before the coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic. Therefore, projections take no account of the impacts of this on future energy demand or emissions.

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