Ride-hailing - Mongolia

  • Mongolia
  • Mongolia is expected to witness a significant uprise in the Ride-hailing market, with the projected revenue reaching US$3.81m by 2024.
  • The market is anticipated to grow annually at a rate of 2.16%, leading to a projected market volume of US$4.15m by 2028.
  • By 2028, the number of users is expected to rise to 0.91m users, with a user penetration of 24.9%, declining from 23.8% in 2024.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$4.59.
  • Online sales are expected to contribute 100% of the total revenue by 2028.
  • It is worth noting that China will generate the highest revenue in the Ride-hailing market in 2024, with a whopping US$63,280m.
  • Despite the lack of ride-hailing giants, Mongolia's Taxi market is thriving with privately-owned taxis dominating the scene.

Key regions: Malaysia, Thailand, United States, Indonesia, South America

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Ride-hailing market in Mongolia has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by changing customer preferences and local special circumstances.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Mongolia are increasingly turning to ride-hailing services due to the convenience and efficiency they offer. With the rise of smartphone usage and improved internet connectivity, people are finding it easier to book rides through mobile apps. This has led to a shift away from traditional taxi services, as ride-hailing platforms provide a more seamless and user-friendly experience. Additionally, customers appreciate the transparency in pricing and the ability to track their rides in real-time, which enhances safety and trust.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the ride-hailing market in Mongolia is the increasing adoption of cashless payment options. Ride-hailing platforms have introduced digital payment methods, such as credit cards and mobile wallets, which have gained popularity among customers. This trend is in line with global market developments, as cashless payments become more prevalent worldwide. The convenience and security of digital payments have contributed to their growing acceptance among Mongolian customers. Another trend in the market is the emergence of local ride-hailing companies. While international players initially dominated the market, local companies have started to gain traction by offering tailored services to the Mongolian market. These companies understand the unique needs and preferences of local customers, and have adapted their offerings accordingly. This trend reflects the importance of localization in the ride-hailing industry, as companies strive to cater to the specific requirements of different regions.

Local special circumstances:
Mongolia's unique geography and transportation infrastructure have also influenced the development of the ride-hailing market. The country has a vast territory with a relatively small population, resulting in long travel distances between towns and cities. This makes ride-hailing services an attractive option for both urban and rural residents, as they provide a convenient and efficient means of transportation. Additionally, Mongolia experiences harsh winters with extreme temperatures, making it challenging to hail taxis on the street. Ride-hailing platforms offer a reliable alternative during these weather conditions.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The ride-hailing market in Mongolia has also been influenced by macroeconomic factors. The country has experienced steady economic growth in recent years, leading to an increase in disposable income among the population. This has contributed to higher demand for transportation services, including ride-hailing. Additionally, the government has implemented policies to support the development of the digital economy, which has created a favorable environment for ride-hailing companies to operate and expand in Mongolia. In conclusion, the ride-hailing market in Mongolia has seen significant growth due to changing customer preferences, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The convenience of ride-hailing services, the adoption of cashless payments, and the emergence of local companies have all contributed to the market's development. Furthermore, Mongolia's unique geography and transportation infrastructure, along with favorable macroeconomic conditions, have created a conducive environment for the growth of the ride-hailing industry in the country.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings and revenues of ride-hailing services.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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