Passenger change in the aviation industry by scenarios 2020-2022

Air passenger traffic change due coronavirus (COVID-19) from Q1 2020 to Q4 2022, by scenario (in millions)*

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Release date

March 2022



Survey time period

Q1 2020 to Q4 2021

Supplementary notes

* The source defines the following scenarios:
Scenario 1 - "Nike swoosh- and W-shaped":
Path 1: smooth capacity recovery with demand picking up but a slow rate growth;
Path 1a: smooth capacity recovery but then turning back down due to over-capacity.
Scenario 2 - "U- and L-shaped":
Path 2: accelerated recovery;
Path 2a: slow recovery and sluggish demand.

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Statistics on "Coronavirus: impact on the aviation industry worldwide"

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