In the fourth quarter of 2022, it is estimated that global air passenger traffic will have an increase of 583.7 million passengers in an accelerated U- and L-shaped scenario due to the coronavirus outbreak.
For further information about the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, please visit our dedicated Fact and Figures page.
Air passenger traffic change due coronavirus (COVID-19) from Q1 2020 to Q4 2022, by scenario (in millions)*
Characteristic
Scenario 1
Scenario 1a
Scenario 2
Scenario 2a
Actual
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* The source defines the following scenarios:
Scenario 1 - "Nike swoosh- and W-shaped": Path 1: smooth capacity recovery with demand picking up but a slow rate growth;
Path 1a: smooth capacity recovery but then turning back down due to over-capacity.
Scenario 2 - "U- and L-shaped": Path 2: accelerated recovery;
Path 2a: slow recovery and sluggish demand.
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ICAO. (March 8, 2022). Air passenger traffic change due coronavirus (COVID-19) from Q1 2020 to Q4 2022, by scenario (in millions)* [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved September 01, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1106470/effects-coronavirus-aviation-industry-passenger-loss-country-scenario/
ICAO. "Air passenger traffic change due coronavirus (COVID-19) from Q1 2020 to Q4 2022, by scenario (in millions)*." Chart. March 8, 2022. Statista. Accessed September 01, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1106470/effects-coronavirus-aviation-industry-passenger-loss-country-scenario/
ICAO. (2022). Air passenger traffic change due coronavirus (COVID-19) from Q1 2020 to Q4 2022, by scenario (in millions)*. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: September 01, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1106470/effects-coronavirus-aviation-industry-passenger-loss-country-scenario/
ICAO. "Air Passenger Traffic Change Due Coronavirus (Covid-19) from Q1 2020 to Q4 2022, by Scenario (in Millions)*." Statista, Statista Inc., 8 Mar 2022, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1106470/effects-coronavirus-aviation-industry-passenger-loss-country-scenario/
ICAO, Air passenger traffic change due coronavirus (COVID-19) from Q1 2020 to Q4 2022, by scenario (in millions)* Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1106470/effects-coronavirus-aviation-industry-passenger-loss-country-scenario/ (last visited September 01, 2024)
Air passenger traffic change due coronavirus (COVID-19) from Q1 2020 to Q4 2022, by scenario (in millions)* [Graph], ICAO, March 8, 2022. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1106470/effects-coronavirus-aviation-industry-passenger-loss-country-scenario/