Hard Brexit EU-UK trade scenarios impact on GDP 2021

Estimated impact of UK-EU trade under Hard Brexit scenarios on gross domestic product (GDP) in the United Kingdom (UK) as of 2021

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Source

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Release date

December 2017

Region

United Kingdom

Survey time period

2017

Supplementary notes

The impact on GDP represents the cumulative effect after ten tears. The source adds that the entries were calculated using 2015 GDP and population data from the World Bank.

WTO rules scenario is taken as a baseline. Percentage point changes for EU-UK FTA and UK-EU Transitional Deal scenarios represent percentage point changes relative to this baseline.

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