The share of nuclear power in global electricity generation stood at 9.2 percent in 2022. In a scenario in which countries pursue policies of nuclear power expansion, the share of nuclear power in the global power mix is forecast to surpass 14 percent in 2050. On the contrary, in a scenario where no policies for the expansion of nuclear power are implemented, the nuclear share of electricity generation would decrease by around one percent every ten years, starting in 2030.
Estimates of nuclear energy share in electricity generation mix worldwide in 2022 with forecasts until 2050, by scenario
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High case
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According to the source, the low case scenario assumes that current market, technology, and resource trends will continue; few additional changes in laws, policies, and regulations concerning nuclear power will be made. No assumptions concerning targets for nuclear power are made.
The high case scenario takes into account existing policies as well as publicized intentions of individual countries regarding expansion of nuclear power use. While more ambitious, the high case projections are still plausible and technically feasible.
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IAEA. (September 14, 2023). Estimates of nuclear energy share in electricity generation mix worldwide in 2022 with forecasts until 2050, by scenario [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved July 27, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1234191/world-nuclear-energy-share-of-global-energy-generation-forecast/
IAEA. "Estimates of nuclear energy share in electricity generation mix worldwide in 2022 with forecasts until 2050, by scenario." Chart. September 14, 2023. Statista. Accessed July 27, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1234191/world-nuclear-energy-share-of-global-energy-generation-forecast/
IAEA. (2023). Estimates of nuclear energy share in electricity generation mix worldwide in 2022 with forecasts until 2050, by scenario. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: July 27, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1234191/world-nuclear-energy-share-of-global-energy-generation-forecast/
IAEA. "Estimates of Nuclear Energy Share in Electricity Generation Mix Worldwide in 2022 with Forecasts until 2050, by Scenario." Statista, Statista Inc., 14 Sep 2023, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1234191/world-nuclear-energy-share-of-global-energy-generation-forecast/
IAEA, Estimates of nuclear energy share in electricity generation mix worldwide in 2022 with forecasts until 2050, by scenario Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1234191/world-nuclear-energy-share-of-global-energy-generation-forecast/ (last visited July 27, 2024)
Estimates of nuclear energy share in electricity generation mix worldwide in 2022 with forecasts until 2050, by scenario [Graph], IAEA, September 14, 2023. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1234191/world-nuclear-energy-share-of-global-energy-generation-forecast/