Target scenarios for residual municipal waste reductions in the EU-27 2030

Possible residual municipal waste reduction target scenarios in the European Union (EU-27) from 2020 to 2030

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Release date

May 2023

Region

EU

Survey time period

2020

Special properties

Scenarios to reach halving residual municipal waste by 2030*

Supplementary notes

* Future scenarios: (Scenario 1) 3.7 percent increase in total municipal waste generated (i.e. no waste reduction or ‘business as usual’ (BAU)) and 2030 recycling target of 60% met; (Scenario 2) 3.7 percent increase in total municipal waste generated (i.e. no waste reduction) with 73 percent recycling rate; and (Scenario 3) reduction in total municipal waste of 34 percent compared with the scenarios 1 and 2 and 60 percent recycling target met.

Residual waste is waste that was neither recycled nor reused, i.e. waste material not collected separately for recycling or composting/digestion, and residues from sorting processes. Residual municipal waste is either incinerated or landfilled.

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