Probability of default on retail loans in Central and Eastern Europe Q1 2019

This statistics illustrates the probability of default (PD) on retail loans in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) as of the first quarter of 2019, by country. As of the first quarter of 2019, Slovakia displayed the highest probability of a retail loan defaulting with 15.1 percent. Hungary had the second highest probability of default on retail loans in CEE with 3.12 percent as well as having the highest probability of default on corporate loans as of the first quarter of 2019.

Probability of default (PD) on retail loans in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) in the 1st quarter 2019, by country

Probability of default*
Slovakia15.1%
Hungary3.12%
Latvia3.03%
Slovenia2.73%
Bulgaria2.59%
Romania2.49%
Croatia1.92%
Czechia1.9%
Poland1.74%
Lithuania1.7%
Estonia1.59%
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Source

Release date

July 2019

Region

Europe

Survey time period

1st quarter 2019

Supplementary notes

* Weighted average of the three quartiles.
Includes loans secured on real estate property, qualifying revolving loans and other retail loans.
The BBVA categorize probability of default as "a measure of credit rating that is assigned internally to a customer or a contract with the aim of estimating the probability of non-compliance within a year. The PD is obtained through a process using scoring and rating tools.
only includes countries with more than 3 banks reporting.

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