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Projected COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. from Oct. 1 to Dec. 31, 2020, by scenario

Based on projections made on October 9, the number of deaths due to COVID-19 in the United States by the end of 2020 could range from 276,086 to 347,945 depending on the scenario. The best case scenario being 95 percent mask usage universally and the worst case being continued easing of social distancing mandates. This statistic shows the projected number of deaths due to COVID-19 in the U.S. from October 1 to December 31, 2020 based on three different scenarios, as of October 9.

Projected number of COVID-19 deaths in the United States from Oct. 1 to Dec. 31, 2020, by scenario*

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Source

Release date

October 2020

Region

United States

Survey time period

as of October 9, 2020

Supplementary notes

* Current projection: Mandates are re-imposed for six weeks whenever daily deaths reach eight per million.
Mandates easing: Continued easing of social distancing mandates, and mandates are not re-imposed.
Universal masks: 95% mask usage in every location, with mandates re-imposed for six weeks if daily deaths reach eight per million.

Statista's COVID-19 content is compiled from various sources. Although all of these sources are reliable, this may result in discrepancies in figures among different statistics, graphs, and charts.

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Statistics on "Coronavirus (COVID-19) in the U.S."

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