The coal capacity across non-OECD countries is forecast at 547 GW by 2050, under a business-as-usual scenario. The full implementation of Glasgow pledges would see non-OECD countries' 2050 coal capacity fall to 282 GW. In contrast, in order to be in line with a scenario that limits global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, coal capacity in non-OECD countries would need to reach zero by 2050.
Coal-fired capacity pathway to carbon neutrality in non-OECD countries from 2010 to 2050, by scenario
(in gigawatts)
Characteristic
Business as usual
Glasgow pledges
1.5 scenario
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* Historic figures.
From 2025, figures are forecasts based on different scenarios. Pledges refer to projected coal capacity assuming full implementation of COP26 (Glasgow) pledges, while the 1.5 scenario is consistent with IPCC scenarios that limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
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Global Energy Monitor. (April 1, 2022). Coal-fired capacity pathway to carbon neutrality in non-OECD countries from 2010 to 2050, by scenario (in gigawatts) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved July 27, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1359701/coal-capacity-carbon-neutral-pathway-scenario-non-oecd/
Global Energy Monitor. "Coal-fired capacity pathway to carbon neutrality in non-OECD countries from 2010 to 2050, by scenario (in gigawatts)." Chart. April 1, 2022. Statista. Accessed July 27, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1359701/coal-capacity-carbon-neutral-pathway-scenario-non-oecd/
Global Energy Monitor. (2022). Coal-fired capacity pathway to carbon neutrality in non-OECD countries from 2010 to 2050, by scenario (in gigawatts). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: July 27, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1359701/coal-capacity-carbon-neutral-pathway-scenario-non-oecd/
Global Energy Monitor. "Coal-fired Capacity Pathway to Carbon Neutrality in Non-oecd Countries from 2010 to 2050, by Scenario (in Gigawatts)." Statista, Statista Inc., 1 Apr 2022, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1359701/coal-capacity-carbon-neutral-pathway-scenario-non-oecd/
Global Energy Monitor, Coal-fired capacity pathway to carbon neutrality in non-OECD countries from 2010 to 2050, by scenario (in gigawatts) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1359701/coal-capacity-carbon-neutral-pathway-scenario-non-oecd/ (last visited July 27, 2024)
Coal-fired capacity pathway to carbon neutrality in non-OECD countries from 2010 to 2050, by scenario (in gigawatts) [Graph], Global Energy Monitor, April 1, 2022. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1359701/coal-capacity-carbon-neutral-pathway-scenario-non-oecd/