Outbound visitor growth forecast Europe 2024

The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic disrupted the tourism sector in 2020, with countries worldwide implementing lockdowns and travel bans to face the health crisis. As a result of the travel restrictions, the number of outbound tourists from Europe decreased sharply that year. In Northern Europe, the volume of outbound visitors fell by 72.4 percent in 2020 over the previous year, while it dropped by roughly 62 percent in Western Europe. As forecast, the number of outbound travelers was expected to bounce back across all regions in 2022, especially in Northern Europe.

Outbound visitor growth in Europe in 2020, with a forecast until 2024, by region

Characteristic	Northern	Western	Southern/Mediterranean	Central/Eastern
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Release date

February 2022

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Region

Europe

Survey time period

2020

Supplementary notes

*Estimate.
**Forecast.

Outbound is based on the sum of visits to all destinations. Figures were calculated using the Global Travel Service (GTS) model as of January 24, 2022.

Northern Europe includes Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Ireland, Norway, Sweden, and the United Kingdom.

Western Europe includes Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and Switzerland.

Southern/Mediterranean Europe includes Albania, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Croatia, Cyprus, Greece, Italy, Malta, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Portugal, Serbia, Slovenia, Spain, and Turkey.

Central/Eastern Europe includes Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Georgia, Hungary, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Poland, Romania, Russian Federation, Slovakia, and Ukraine.

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