Impact on global economy due to climate change by scenario Q4 2048

Deviation of real GDP from baseline due to climate change in select countries worldwide by Q4 2048, by scenario*

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Release date

July 2019

Region

Worldwide

Survey time period

2019

Supplementary notes

* Scenarios are defined by the source as follows:
RCP 2.6: Radiative forcing value in the year 2100 is 2.6 watts/m2. CO2- equivalent atmospheric concentration reaches 421 parts per million. Mean global temperature increases by 1°C over the base period.
RCP 4.5. Radiative forcing value in the year 2100 is 4.5 W/m2. CO2-equivalent atmospheric concentration reaches 538 parts per million. Mean global temperature increases by 1.9°C over the base period.
RCP 6.0. Radiative forcing value in the year 2100 is 6.0 W/m2. CO2-equivalent atmospheric concentration reaches 670 parts per million. Mean global temperature increases by 2.4°C over the base period.
RCP 8.5. Radiative forcing value in the year 2100 is 8.5 W/m2. CO2-equivalent atmospheric concentration reaches 936 parts per million. Mean global temperature increases by 4.1°C over the base period.
Base period: 1986 to 2005

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