Population share of climate migrants globally 2050, by region

Projected share of internal climate migrants displaced worldwide by 2050, by region

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Release date

September 2021



Survey time period


Special properties

average figures, considering a pessimistic (reference) scenario, with high global greenhouse gas emissions and an unequal development pathway

Supplementary notes

According to the source, climate-driven migration refers to "migration that can be attributed largely to the slow-onset impacts of climate change on livelihoods owing to shifts in water availability and crop productivity, or to factors such as sea-level rise or storm surge".

Figures only includes internal displacement. It does not consider cross-border migration, or shorter-term mobility (such as seasonal or cyclical migration).

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