Impact of the coronavirus on inbound tourist spending in Italy 2020-2023, by scenario

A research from April 2020 analyzed the impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on the international tourist spending in Italy from 2020 to 2023. The study presented three alternative scenarios. The baseline scenario considered a complete stop of international travels to Italy from the beginning of March to the end of June 2020, followed by a slow recovery during the following months. In this case, the inbound tourist spending would experience a drop of 20.9 billion euros in 2020, compared to the previous year.

Then, the international tourist spending will return to the level of 2019 only in 2023. The upside scenario, based on the same timespan of the baseline, but considering a faster recovery, forecasted a decrease of 18.8 billion euros in 2020. Finally, the downside scenario, supposing a complete stop of international travels until September 2020, estimated a decrease of 31.4 billion euros in 2020.
For further information about the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, please visit our dedicated Facts and Figures page.

Estimated impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) on international tourist spending in Italy from 2020 to 2023, by scenario

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Source

Release date

May 2020

Region

Italy

Survey time period

2020

Supplementary notes

All data are compared to 2019 figures.

The source specifies that all the scenarios considered that it was not possible to take international travels from China since January 2020 as well as from Japan and South Korea since February 2020.

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Statistics on "Coronavirus: impact on the tourism industry in Italy"

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