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Fate of winning candidates following Iowa and New Hampshire primaries 1972-2020

Fate of the most popular candidates in the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primaries from 1972 to 2020

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Sources

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Release date

November 2020

Region

United States

Survey time period

1972 to 2020

Supplementary notes

The winning candidates from each event were:

Iowa
1972 - Edmund Muskie* (D) & N/A (R)
1976 - Jimmy Carter* (D) & Gerald Ford (R)
1980 - Jimmy Carter (D) & George H. W. Bush (R)
1984 - Walter Mondale (D) & Ronald Reagan** (R)
1988 - Dick Gephardt (D) & Bob Dole (R)
1992 - Tom Harkin (D) & George H. W. Bush** (R)
1996 - Bill Clinton** (D) & Bob Dole (R)
2000 - Al Gore (D) & George W. Bush (R)
2004 - John Kerry (D) & George W. Bush** (R)
2008 - Barack Obama (D) & Mike Huckabee (R)
2012 - Barack Obama** (D) & Rick Santorum (R)
2016 - Hillary Clinton (D) & Ted Cruz (R)
2020 - Pete Buttigieg (D) & Donald Trump** (R)

New Hampshire
1972 - Edmund Muskie (D) & Richard Nixon (R)
1976 - Jimmy Carter (D) & Gerald R. Ford (R)
1980 - Jimmy Carter (D) & Ronald Reagan (R)
1984 - Gary Hart (D) & Ronald Reagan** (R)
1988 - Michael Dukakis (D) & George H. W. Bush (R)
1992 - Paul Tsongas (D) & George H. W. Bush
1996 - Bill Clinton** (D) & Pat Buchanan (R)
2000 - Al Gore (D) & John McCain (R)
2004 - John Kerry (D) & George W. Bush** (R)
2008 - Hillary Clinton (D) & John McCain (R)
2012 - Barack Obama** (D) & Mitt Romney (R)
2016 - Bernie Sanders (D) & Donald Trump (R)
2020 - Bernie Sanders (D) & Donald Trump** (R)

*The most common choice was "Uncommitted"

**Candidates ran largely unopposed.

Data was gathered from the linked source, as well as the individual entries from this USA Today outlet, and individually archived records from the New Hampshire state government records.

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Statistics on "2020 Presidential Election and the Media"

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