Germany: quick commerce potential 2030

According to forecasts, the quick commerce market in Germany has the potential to reach some 560 million euros by 2030. The study predicts that a q-commerce provider in a German city with more than 200,000 inhabitants and two other competitors in the sector could have a potential of about 28 million euros per year.

Estimated potential of the quick commerce market in Germany by 2030 (in million euros)

Characteristic	Estimated market size in million euros
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Release date

August 2021

More information

Region

Germany

Survey time period

August 2021*

Supplementary notes

* The date given is that of release.

Regarding the methodology, the study specifies:
- TAM: based on 21 million potential customers, a 20 euro basket size, and two orders per week per customer.
- SAM: Assuming that by 2030, ten percent of the Total Available Market (TAM) can be addressed.
- SOM: Accessible market for a single supplier. Only active in about half of the target market (20 cities) in which ten percent of the inhabitants are addressed. Each city is evenly divided with two other competitors.

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