Box Office - South Africa

  • South Africa
  • Revenue in the Box Office market is projected to reach US$82.02m in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 5.32%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$106.30m by 2029.
  • In the Box Office market, the number of viewers is expected to amount to 6.2m users by 2029.
  • User penetration will be 8.8% in 2024 and is expected to hit 9.6% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per viewer is expected to amount to US$15.29.
  • In global comparison, most revenue will be generated in the United States (US$10,140.00m in 2024).

Key regions: South Korea, United Kingdom, Germany, United States, Europe

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Box Office market in South Africa has been experiencing steady growth in recent years, driven by various factors including customer preferences, market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. Customer preferences in South Africa have played a significant role in the development of the Box Office market.

South African audiences have shown a strong preference for both local and international films, with a particular interest in films that reflect their own culture and experiences. This has led to an increase in the production and distribution of local films, contributing to the growth of the Box Office market. Trends in the market have also contributed to the development of the Box Office market in South Africa.

The rise of digital platforms and streaming services has provided audiences with more options for accessing and consuming films. However, despite the availability of these alternatives, the cinema experience remains popular in South Africa, with audiences continuing to flock to movie theaters for the immersive and social experience it provides. Local special circumstances have also played a role in shaping the Box Office market in South Africa.

The country's diverse population and rich cultural heritage have contributed to the demand for a wide range of films, catering to different tastes and interests. Additionally, the growth of the middle class in South Africa has led to an increase in disposable income, allowing more people to afford movie tickets and contribute to the growth of the Box Office market. Underlying macroeconomic factors have also influenced the development of the Box Office market in South Africa.

The country's economic stability and increasing urbanization have created a conducive environment for the growth of the entertainment industry, including the Box Office market. Additionally, the government's support for the film industry through initiatives such as tax incentives and funding programs has further stimulated growth in the market. Overall, the Box Office market in South Africa is developing due to a combination of customer preferences, market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

As audiences continue to show a strong interest in both local and international films, and as the country's middle class continues to grow, the Box Office market is expected to continue its upward trajectory in the coming years.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the Cinema market, which comprises revenues from box office, advertsing and concessions. The market includes both consumer and advertising spending. All monetary figures refer to consumer spending on tickets and concessions. This spending factors in discounts, margins, and taxes.

Modeling approach / market size:

The market size is determined through a bottom-up approach. We use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, survey results from our primary research (e.g., Consumer Insights), as well as performance factors (e.g., user penetration, price per product, usage) to analyze the markets. To estimate the market size for each country individually, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific industry associations, such as various macroeconomic indicators, historical developments, current trends, and reported performance indicators of key market players. In particular, we consider average prices and annual purchase frequencies.

Forecasts:

We apply a variety of forecasting techniques, depending on the behavior of the relevant market. For instance, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting digital products and services due to the non-linear growth of technology adoption. The main drivers are GDP per capita, consumer spending per capita, and 4G coverage.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is considered at a country-specific level. The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development). Consumer Insights data is reweighted for representativeness.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Key Players
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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