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Prediction of 10 year U.S. treasury note rates 2019
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Prediction of 10 year U.S. treasury note rates 2019
Prediction of 10 year U.S. treasury note yield from March to September, 2019
Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. In March 2019, the expected yield on a 10 year U.S. treasury note was 2.57 percent, forecasted to fall to 2.39 percent in September 2019. This means that the U.S. Treasury was willing to pay 2.57 percent for a ten year loan starting in March 2019, and analysts predicted the interest rate on such a loan to fall by that September.
Who owns treasury notes?
Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment.
Looking into the future
Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.
Prediction of 10 year U.S. treasury note yield from March to September, 2019
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Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. In March 2019, the expected yield on a 10 year U.S. treasury note was 2.57 percent, forecasted to fall to 2.39 percent in September 2019. This means that the U.S. Treasury was willing to pay 2.57 percent for a ten year loan starting in March 2019, and analysts predicted the interest rate on such a loan to fall by that September.
Who owns treasury notes?
Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment.
Looking into the future
Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.
Show moreWho owns treasury notes?
Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment.
Looking into the future
Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.
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- Release date
- April 2019
- Region
- United States
- Survey time period
- April 1, 2019
- Supplementary notes
- Monthly averages.
Source
- Show sources information
- Show publisher information
- Release date
- April 2019
More information
- Region
- United States
- Survey time period
- April 1, 2019
- Supplementary notes
- Monthly averages.
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Mortgage industry of the United States
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Statistics on "Mortgage industry of the United States"
- Macroeconomics
The most important statistics
- Gross domestic product (GDP) of the United States from 1990 to 2018 (in billion current U.S. dollars )United States - annual GDP 1990-2018
- Monthly 12-month inflation rate in the United States from March 2018 to March 2019United States - monthly inflation rate in March 2019
- United States: Unemployment rate from 2007 to 2017Unemployment rate in the United States 2017
- Prediction of 10 year U.S. treasury note yield from March to September, 2019Prediction of 10 year U.S. treasury note rates 2019
- S&P/Case Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index from 2000 to 2018U.S. housing: Case Shiller National Home Price Index 2000-2018
- Value of debt owned by consumers in the United States as of September 2018, by type (in trillion U.S. dollars)Value of debt owned by consumers in the U.S. 2018, by type
- Average closing costs in the United States in 2017, by state (in U.S. dollars)Average closing costs in the U.S. 2017, by state
- Housing market
The most important statistics
- Most costly housing markets in the United States in Q1 2018, by income spent on mortgageMost costly housing markets in the U.S. 2018 by income spent on mortgage
- Number of private housing units started in the United States from 2000 to 2018 (in thousands)Number of private housing units started in the U.S. 2000-2018
- Number of single-family housing unit starts in the United States from 2000 to 2019 (in thousands)Number of single-family housing unit starts in the U.S. 2000-2019
- Number of multifamily housing starts in the United States from 2000 to 2017 (in thousands)Number of multifamily housing starts in the U.S. 2000-2017
- Average sales price of new homes sold in the U.S. from 1965 to 2017 (in 1,000 U.S. dollars)U.S. house prices: average sales price of new homes sold 1965-2017
- Total home sales in the United States from 2011 to 2019 (in millions)Total home sales in the U.S. 2011-2018
- Number of existing homes sold in the United States from 2005 to 2020 (in million units)U.S. existing home sales 2005-2020
- Sales price of existing single-family homes in the United States from 2000 to 2017 (in thousand U.S. dollars)Sales price of existing single-family houses in the U.S. 2000-2017
- Mortgage industry
The most important statistics
- Residential mortgage backed security issuance in the United States from 2003 to 2018 (in billion U.S. dollars)Residential mortgage backed security issuance in the U.S. 2003-2018
- Purchase volume of mortgages in the United States from 2015 to 2017, by type (in millions)Purchase volume of mortgages in the U.S. 2015-2017, by type
- Number of home equity conversion mortgages (HECM) in the United States from 2005 to 2018Number of HECMs in the U.S. 2005-2018
- Mortgage originations on one-to-four family properties in the United States from 1st quarter 2012 to 3rd quarter 2018, by type (in billion U.S. dollars)Mortgage originations in the U.S. 2012-2018, by type
- Leading reverse mortgage companies in the United States as of May 2018, by total volume of loansLeading reverse mortgage companies in the U.S. 2018, by volume of loans
- Mortgage debt
The most important statistics
- Home mortgage debt of households and nonprofit organizations in the United States from 1st quarter 2012 to 2nd quarter 2018 (in trillion U.S. dollars)Home mortgage debt of households and nonprofit organizations in the U.S. 2012-2018
- Value of mortgage debt outstanding in the United States from 2001 to 2018 (in trillion U.S. dollars)Mortgage debt outstanding in the U.S. 2001-2018
- Value of mortgage debt outstanding on family residences in the United States from 2001 to 2018 (in trillion U.S. dollars)Mortgage debt outstanding on family residences in the U.S. 2001-2018
- Value of mortgage debt outstanding on multifamily residences in the United States from 2001 to 2018 (in billion U.S. dollars)Mortgage debt outstanding on multifamily residences in the U.S. 2001-2018
- Share of single family home mortgages taken out by co-borrowers in selected cities in the United States in the 2nd quarter 2017Share of mortgages for single family homes sold to co-borrowers in U.S. Q2 2017
- Mortgage rates
The most important statistics
- Rates on 30-year conventional mortgage in the United States from 1975 to 2018Rates on 30-year conventional mortgage in the U.S. 1975-2018
- Rates on 15-year fixed rate mortgage in the United States from 1992 to 2018Rates on 15-year fixed rate mortgage in the U.S. 1992-2018
- Rates on 1-year adjustable mortgages in the United States from 2005 to 2016Rates on 1-year adjustable mortgages in the U.S. 2005-2016
- Mortgage interest rates from 4th quarter 2017 to 1st quarter 2018 in the United States, by mortgage typeQuarterly mortgage interest rates in the U.S. 2018, by mortgage type
- Customer perspective
The most important statistics
- Amount of down payment people believe is reasonable for a mortgage in the United States in 2017, by locationAmount of down payment people believe is reasonable for a mortgage U.S. 2017, by area
- Amount of down payment people believe is needed for a mortgage in the United States in 2017, by ageAmount of down payment people believe is needed for a mortgage U.S. 2017, by age
- Perception of difficulty in saving for down payment in the United States in 3rd quarter 2017, by generationDifficulty of saving for down payment U.S. 2017, by generation
- If mortgage rates were to rise above 5%, what effect would it have on your home-buying plans?Effects of raising mortgage rates on future home buying in the U.S. 2018
- Distribution of mortgage complaints reported to Consumer Financial Protection Bureau in the United States in 2018Mortgage consumer complaints reported to CFPB in the U.S. 2018
- Likelihood of homeowners paying more for better neighborhood vs. living comfortably within budget in the United States in 2017, by rent/mortgage levelBudget strain for better neighborhood vs. living within budget U.S. 2017, by mortgage
- Average length of time spent by mortgage holders researching home loans before purchase in the United States in 2018Time spent by mortgage holders researching home loans pre-purchase in the U.S. 2018
- Share of mortgage holders who compared APRs and closing costs before choosing a lender in the United States in 2018Mortgage holders who compared home loan costs in the U.S. 2018
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Statistics
- U.S. government security rates - three-month Treasury bill
- Savings bonds owned by U.S. families 2013, by income percentile
- Average annual percent change in total return of U.S. treasury bills 2001-2017
- Petroleum products yield share in Canada by product type 2010-2016
- Average hotel room yields in the Middle East by city 2016
- Initial prime yields of retail premises in France Q1 2016-Q1 2018
- Dividend payout in the GCC by country 2015
- Initial prime yields of industrial premises in Greater Paris Q1 2016-Q1 2018
- Current yield in the GCC by country 2016
- Prime yields of commercial real estate in the United Kingdom 2019, by property type
- Rates for U.S. six-month Treasury bills
- Initial prime yields of offices in France Q1 2016-Q1 2018
- Prime office yields in Romania June 2018, by city
- Initial prime yields of offices in Paris, France Q1 2016-Q1 2018
- GEMA license fee yields from sound carriers in Germany 2008-2017
- Initial prime yields of grade A warehouses in France Q1 2016-Q1 2018
- Prime office yields in Germany Q2 2018, by city
- Musical performing and reproduction rights (GEMA) yields in Germany 2000-2017
- GEMA license fee yields from radio and TV in Germany 2008-2017
- Savings bonds owned by U.S. families 2013, by age of family head
Statistics on "Mortgage industry of the United States"
- Gross domestic product (GDP) of the United States from 1990 to 2018 (in billion current U.S. dollars )
- Monthly 12-month inflation rate in the United States from March 2018 to March 2019
- United States: Unemployment rate from 2007 to 2017
- Prediction of 10 year U.S. treasury note yield from March to September, 2019
- S&P/Case Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index from 2000 to 2018
- Value of debt owned by consumers in the United States as of September 2018, by type (in trillion U.S. dollars)
- Average closing costs in the United States in 2017, by state (in U.S. dollars)
- Most costly housing markets in the United States in Q1 2018, by income spent on mortgage
- Number of private housing units started in the United States from 2000 to 2018 (in thousands)
- Number of single-family housing unit starts in the United States from 2000 to 2019 (in thousands)
- Number of multifamily housing starts in the United States from 2000 to 2017 (in thousands)
- Average sales price of new homes sold in the U.S. from 1965 to 2017 (in 1,000 U.S. dollars)
- Total home sales in the United States from 2011 to 2019 (in millions)
- Number of existing homes sold in the United States from 2005 to 2020 (in million units)
- Sales price of existing single-family homes in the United States from 2000 to 2017 (in thousand U.S. dollars)
- S&P/Case Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index from October 2016 to October 2018
- Freddie Mac House Price Index price appreciation from 2010 to 2018
- Residential mortgage backed security issuance in the United States from 2003 to 2018 (in billion U.S. dollars)
- Purchase volume of mortgages in the United States from 2015 to 2017, by type (in millions)
- Number of home equity conversion mortgages (HECM) in the United States from 2005 to 2018
- Mortgage originations on one-to-four family properties in the United States from 1st quarter 2012 to 3rd quarter 2018, by type (in billion U.S. dollars)
- Leading reverse mortgage companies in the United States as of May 2018, by total volume of loans
- Home mortgage debt of households and nonprofit organizations in the United States from 1st quarter 2012 to 2nd quarter 2018 (in trillion U.S. dollars)
- Value of mortgage debt outstanding in the United States from 2001 to 2018 (in trillion U.S. dollars)
- Value of mortgage debt outstanding on family residences in the United States from 2001 to 2018 (in trillion U.S. dollars)
- Value of mortgage debt outstanding on multifamily residences in the United States from 2001 to 2018 (in billion U.S. dollars)
- Share of single family home mortgages taken out by co-borrowers in selected cities in the United States in the 2nd quarter 2017
- Rates on 30-year conventional mortgage in the United States from 1975 to 2018
- Rates on 15-year fixed rate mortgage in the United States from 1992 to 2018
- Rates on 1-year adjustable mortgages in the United States from 2005 to 2016
- Mortgage interest rates from 4th quarter 2017 to 1st quarter 2018 in the United States, by mortgage type
- Amount of down payment people believe is reasonable for a mortgage in the United States in 2017, by location
- Amount of down payment people believe is needed for a mortgage in the United States in 2017, by age
- Perception of difficulty in saving for down payment in the United States in 3rd quarter 2017, by generation
- If mortgage rates were to rise above 5%, what effect would it have on your home-buying plans?
- Distribution of mortgage complaints reported to Consumer Financial Protection Bureau in the United States in 2018
- Likelihood of homeowners paying more for better neighborhood vs. living comfortably within budget in the United States in 2017, by rent/mortgage level
- Average length of time spent by mortgage holders researching home loans before purchase in the United States in 2018
- Share of mortgage holders who compared APRs and closing costs before choosing a lender in the United States in 2018
- Steps taken by mortgage holders before applying for their mortgage in the United States in 2018
- Rates for U.S. government three-month Treasury bills from 1990 to 2010*
- Percentage of U.S. families owning savings bonds in 2013, by income percentile
- Average annual percent change in total return of treasury bills of the United States from 2001 to 2017
- Distribution of Canada's refined petroleum products yield, by product type from 2010 to 2016
- Average hotel room yields in the Middle East from January to July 2016, by leading cities (in U.S. dollars)
- Initial prime yields of retail premises in France from the 1st quarter 2016 to 1st quarter 2018, by premise location
- Dividend payout in the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2015 by country
- Initial prime yields of industrial premises in the Greater Paris region of France from 1st quarter 2016 to 1st quarter 2018
- Current yield in the Gulf Cooperation Council in October 2016, by country
- Prime yields of commercial real estate in the United Kingdom (UK) as of January 2019, by property type
- Rates for U.S. government six-month Treasury bills from 1990 to 2010*
- Initial prime yields of office properties in France from 1st quarter 2016 to 1st quarter 2018, by region
- Prime office yields in Romania as of June 2018, by city (in euros per square meter)
- Initial prime yields of office properties in the Île-de-France (Paris) region of France from 1st quarter 2016 to 1st quarter 2018, by district
- GEMA license fee yields from sound carriers in Germany from 2008 to 2017 (in million euros)
- Initial prime yields of grade A warehouses in France from 1st quarter 2016 to 1st quarter 2018, by region
- Prime office yields in Germany as of June 2018, by city
- Total yields of the Society for Musical Performing and Mechanical Reproduction Rights (GEMA) in Germany from 2000 to 2017 (in million euros)
- GEMA license fee yields from radio and television in Germany from 2008 to 2017 (in million euros)
- Percentage of U.S. families owning savings bonds in 2013, by age of family head
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