Population distribution by five-year age group in China 2020

As of 2020, the bulk of the Chinese population was aged between 25 and 59 years, amounting to more than half of the population. A breakdown of the population by broad age groups reveals that around 63.4 percent of the total population was in working age between 16 and 59 years in 2020. Age cohorts below 25 years were considerably smaller, although there was a slight growth trend in recent years.

Population development in China

Population development in China over the past decades has been strongly influenced by political and economic factors. After a time of high fertility rates during the Maoist regime, China introduced birth-control measures in the 1970s, including the so-called one-child policy. The fertility rate dropped accordingly from around six children per woman in the 1960s to below two at the end of the 20th century. At the same time, life expectancy increased consistently. In the face of a rapidly aging society, the government gradually lifted the one-child policy after 2012, finally arriving at a three-child policy in 2021. However, like in most other developed countries nowadays, people in China are reluctant to have more than one or two children due to high costs of living and education, as well as changed social norms and private values.

China’s top-heavy age pyramid

The above-mentioned developments are clearly reflected in the Chinese age pyramid. The age cohorts between 25 and 35 years are the last two larger age cohorts. The cohorts between 15 and 25, which now enter childbearing age, are decisively smaller, which will have a negative effect on the number of births in the coming decade. When looking at a gender distribution of the population pyramid, a considerable gender gap among the younger age cohorts becomes visible, leaving even less room for growth in birth figures.