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Aside from two outliers the majority of Vanguard's fixed-income securities were projected to have an average
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annualized volatility rate of under
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percent. Fixed income is used to refer to any investment in which a borrower/issuer is required to pay interest to the lender on the amount given. Due to the stable nature of fixed-income products in comparison to other securities such as equities the level of volatility is comparably low.
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Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized average volatility rate on U.S. and global fixed income securities in 2025, by type
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Forecast based on the running of the Vanguard Capital Markets Model (VCMM)
Supplementary notes
The source adds the following information:
The 10-year annualized nominal return and volatility forecasts are based on the December 31, 2022, running of the Vanguard Capital Markets Model® (VCMM). Fixed income returns reflect a 1-point range around the 50th percentile. More extreme returns are possible.
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Vanguard. (July 29, 2025). Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized average volatility rate on U.S. and global fixed income securities in 2025, by type [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved November 04, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1370963/vanguards-forecast-10-year-annualized-average-volatility-rate-on-us-and-global-fixed-income-securities/
Vanguard. "Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized average volatility rate on U.S. and global fixed income securities in 2025, by type." Chart. July 29, 2025. Statista. Accessed November 04, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1370963/vanguards-forecast-10-year-annualized-average-volatility-rate-on-us-and-global-fixed-income-securities/
Vanguard. (2025). Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized average volatility rate on U.S. and global fixed income securities in 2025, by type. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: November 04, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1370963/vanguards-forecast-10-year-annualized-average-volatility-rate-on-us-and-global-fixed-income-securities/
Vanguard. "Vanguard’s Forecast 10-year Annualized Average Volatility Rate on U.S. and Global Fixed Income Securities in 2025, by Type." Statista, Statista Inc., 29 Jul 2025, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1370963/vanguards-forecast-10-year-annualized-average-volatility-rate-on-us-and-global-fixed-income-securities/
Vanguard, Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized average volatility rate on U.S. and global fixed income securities in 2025, by type Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1370963/vanguards-forecast-10-year-annualized-average-volatility-rate-on-us-and-global-fixed-income-securities/ (last visited November 04, 2025)
Vanguard’s forecast 10-year annualized average volatility rate on U.S. and global fixed income securities in 2025, by type [Graph], Vanguard, July 29, 2025. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1370963/vanguards-forecast-10-year-annualized-average-volatility-rate-on-us-and-global-fixed-income-securities/
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