U.S. electric power renewable energy generation outlook by technology 2013-2040

Projected electric power sector generation of renewable energy in the U.S. from 2013 to 2040, by resource

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Release date

March 2015


United States

Survey time period


Supplementary notes

The 2013 figure is the actual figure. All other figures are projections based on a business-as-usual trend estimate, given known technology and technological and demographic trends.

* Includes both hydrothermal resources (hot water and steam) and near-field enhanced geothermal systems (EGS). Near-field EGS potential occurs on known hydrothermal sites, however this potential requires the addition of external fluids for electricity generation and is only available after 2025.
** Includes municipal waste, landfill gas, and municipal sewage sludge. Incremental growth is assumed to be for landfill gas facilities. All municipal waste is included, although a portion of the municipal waste stream contains petroleum-derived plastics and other non-renewable sources.
*** Facilities co-firing biomass and coal are classified as coal.
**** Does not include off-grid photovoltaics (PV). Based on annual PV shipments from 1989 through 2013, EIA estimates that as much as 274 megawatts of remote electricity generation PV applications (i.e., off-grid power systems) were in service in 2013, plus an additional 573 megawatts in communications, transportation, and assorted other non-grid-connected, specialized applications.

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