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U.S. electric power renewable energy generation outlook by technology 2013-2040

This statistic gives outlook figures on the generation of renewable energy in the electric power sector in the United States between 2013 and 2040, broken down by renewable resource. In 2020, the electric power sector is expected to generate 20 billion kilowatt hours of waste energy.

Projected electric power sector generation of renewable energy in the U.S. from 2013 to 2040, by resource

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Release date

March 2015


United States

Survey time period


Supplementary notes

The 2013 figure is the actual figure. All other figures are projections based on a business-as-usual trend estimate, given known technology and technological and demographic trends.

* Includes both hydrothermal resources (hot water and steam) and near-field enhanced geothermal systems (EGS). Near-field EGS potential occurs on known hydrothermal sites, however this potential requires the addition of external fluids for electricity generation and is only available after 2025.
** Includes municipal waste, landfill gas, and municipal sewage sludge. Incremental growth is assumed to be for landfill gas facilities. All municipal waste is included, although a portion of the municipal waste stream contains petroleum-derived plastics and other non-renewable sources.
*** Facilities co-firing biomass and coal are classified as coal.
**** Does not include off-grid photovoltaics (PV). Based on annual PV shipments from 1989 through 2013, EIA estimates that as much as 274 megawatts of remote electricity generation PV applications (i.e., off-grid power systems) were in service in 2013, plus an additional 573 megawatts in communications, transportation, and assorted other non-grid-connected, specialized applications.

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