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The refining capacity in the Atlantic Basin stood at nearly
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million barrels per day, while the region East of Suez reported
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million barrels per day in capacity. Refining capacity in the Atlantic Basin is forecast to drop slightly in 2030 under a STEP scenario. Meanwhile, that of the East of Suez region would increase by
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percent. However, the capacity in both regions would drop to a combined
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million barrels per day under a net-zero emissions scenario. The STEP or stated policies scenario is based on current policies both already in place and under development, while the NZE or net-zero emissions scenario assumes that the global energy sector will achieve net zero CO₂ emissions by 2050.
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Refining capacity worldwide in 2022, with a forecast for 2030, by scenario and region
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STEPS: Stated Policies Scenario
APS: Announced Pledges Scenario
NZE: Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario
More information about the IEA's scenarios can be found here.
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IEA. (November 22, 2023). Refining capacity worldwide in 2022, with a forecast for 2030, by scenario and region (in million of barrels per day) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved November 04, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1451624/projected-refining-capacity-worldwide-by-region-and-scenario/
IEA. "Refining capacity worldwide in 2022, with a forecast for 2030, by scenario and region (in million of barrels per day)." Chart. November 22, 2023. Statista. Accessed November 04, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1451624/projected-refining-capacity-worldwide-by-region-and-scenario/
IEA. (2023). Refining capacity worldwide in 2022, with a forecast for 2030, by scenario and region (in million of barrels per day). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: November 04, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1451624/projected-refining-capacity-worldwide-by-region-and-scenario/
IEA. "Refining Capacity Worldwide in 2022, with a Forecast for 2030, by Scenario and Region (in Million of Barrels per Day)." Statista, Statista Inc., 22 Nov 2023, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1451624/projected-refining-capacity-worldwide-by-region-and-scenario/
IEA, Refining capacity worldwide in 2022, with a forecast for 2030, by scenario and region (in million of barrels per day) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1451624/projected-refining-capacity-worldwide-by-region-and-scenario/ (last visited November 04, 2025)
Refining capacity worldwide in 2022, with a forecast for 2030, by scenario and region (in million of barrels per day) [Graph], IEA, November 22, 2023. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1451624/projected-refining-capacity-worldwide-by-region-and-scenario/
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