U.S. drug development phase success rates 2006-2015

This statistic shows the probability of success for new drugs in the U.S. through the various stages of development, within the period from January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2015. It was found that the probability that a new drug makes it from Phase I to approval was only 9.6 percent.

Probability of success for drugs in the U.S. in different development phases between 2006 and 2015

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Release date

May 2016


United States

Survey time period

January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2015

Supplementary notes

* NDA - New Drug Application/ BLA - Biologic License Application.
For all diseases and modalities.

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Statistics on "Clinical trials"

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