Ahead of a potential House vote on doubling the federal minimum wage
, a Congressional Budget Office analysis
has examined the possible ramifications of such a move. The minimum wage is currently $7.25 and it has remained that way for more than ten years, its longest stagnation ever. That prompted House Democrats to introduce the Raise the Wage Act in January which would see the hourly minimum wage rise to $15 by 2025.
While the analysis predicts several positive effects from a $15 minimum wage such as higher wages for 17 million workers and 1.3 million fewer people living below the poverty threshold, it could lead to job losses. The precise impact on employment remains uncertain and there is a chance that no jobs will be lost as well as a chance 3.7 million jobs could be lost by 2025. That has resulted in a median estimate of 1.3 million job losses. In the case of increasing the minimum wage
to $12, median job losses could total 300,000 by 2025.