Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden has been leading his opponent, Republican incumbent President Donald Trump in the polls ahead of the U.S. presidential elections on November 3. Election website 270toWin, aptly stating in its slogan that “This is not a popularity contest™”, is converting polling averages into electoral college votes, projecting that Biden would gain 273 votes from states safely Democrat or leaning Democrat. This is slightly more than the 270 votes required to win the electoral college and the presidency.
Donald Trump is projected to win 119 votes in states safely Republican or leaning Republican according to current polling. 146 votes come from states that were polling too close to call. As of September 17, these included Ohio, Florida, Texas, Georgia and North Carolina.
Basing the electoral college forecast on ratings by major forecasting organizations and media instead of polling, 278 votes would go to Biden from states at least leaning Democrat and 169 would go to Trump from Republican states or those leaning in this direction.